{"id":2971,"date":"2026-09-30T17:36:42","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T15:36:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/bosnie-herzegovine-suede-pronostic-2026-10-02\/"},"modified":"2026-10-02T23:12:17","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T21:12:17","slug":"bosnie-herzegovine-suede-pronostic-2026-10-02","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-des-nations\/bosnie-herzegovine-suede-pronostic-2026-10-02\/","title":{"rendered":"Pour l&#8217;adieu de D\u017eeko, la Bosnie re\u00e7oit une Su\u00e8de amoindrie \u00e0 Zenica"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Vendredi \u00e0 Zenica, le Bilino Polje sera plein pour ce que la f\u00e9d\u00e9ration pr\u00e9sente comme un adieu : la billetterie s&#8217;est ferm\u00e9e en quatorze minutes. Edin D\u017eeko, 40 ans, capitaine et recordman de s\u00e9lections, y joue contre la Su\u00e8de le dernier match de sa carri\u00e8re internationale, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nfsbih.ba\/en\/news\/football\/m\/a-national-team-m\/thank-you-edin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">annonc\u00e9 d\u00e8s le 3 septembre<\/a>. La Su\u00e8de, elle, arrive en t\u00eate du groupe avec six points, devant une Bosnie invaincue qui en compte quatre.<\/p>\n<h2>D\u017eeko titulaire pour son adieu \u00e0 Zenica<\/h2>\n<p>Barbarez n&#8217;a pas de demande particuli\u00e8re sur le temps de jeu de son capitaine : \u00ab je souhaite qu&#8217;il joue tout le match, marque et que nous gagnions \u00bb, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.klix.ba\/sport\/nogomet\/barbarez-o-planu-za-dzekin-oprostaj-nadam-se-da-ce-protiv-svedske-odigrati-citav-susret\/260921085\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a-t-il dit<\/a>. D\u017eeko a suivi les d\u00e9placements et s&#8217;est entra\u00een\u00e9 avec le groupe sans \u00eatre align\u00e9 : la composition officielle le donne titulaire, aux c\u00f4t\u00e9s de Demirovi\u0107, pour ce match qu&#8217;une c\u00e9r\u00e9monie de drones cl\u00f4turera. Samed Ba\u017edar (Sint-Truiden), remis d&#8217;une blessure l\u00e9g\u00e8re, entre dans la concurrence.<\/p>\n<h2>Cinq malades en plus : huit absents c\u00f4t\u00e9 su\u00e9dois<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Emil Holm (arri\u00e8re droit) a quitt\u00e9 le groupe le 26 septembre, touch\u00e9 \u00e0 la cuisse contre la Roumanie ;<\/li>\n<li>Hjalmar Ekdal et Alexander Isak, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.svenskfotboll.se\/nyheter\/landslag\/2026\/09\/herrlandslaget-skador\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00ab blessures l\u00e9g\u00e8res \u00bb selon la f\u00e9d\u00e9ration<\/a>, sont sortis le lendemain, sans rempla\u00e7ant appel\u00e9 ;<\/li>\n<li>Yasin Ayari, Benjamin Nygren, Gustaf Lagerbielke, Elliot Stroud et Patrik W\u00e5lemark, malades, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sydsvenskan.se\/sport\/totalt-sjukdomskaos-i-blagult-fem-missar-matchen\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">restent en Su\u00e8de<\/a> ; Stroud et W\u00e5lemark, les plus atteints, manqueront aussi la Roumanie lundi ;<\/li>\n<li>apr\u00e8s le rappel d&#8217;Eric Smith mercredi, quatre renforts ont \u00e9t\u00e9 appel\u00e9s : Felix Beijmo, Samuel Dahl, Hugo Bolin et Ken Sema.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Le m\u00e9decin Jonas Werner \u00e9voque des \u00ab mesures possibles pour limiter la contagion \u00bb. La Su\u00e8de a tenu sa derni\u00e8re s\u00e9ance chez elle avant de rejoindre Sarajevo, sans s\u00e9ance en Bosnie : dans un match qui se joue sur la fra\u00eecheur, ce d\u00e9tail compte.<\/p>\n<h2>Gy\u00f6keres marque, la Bosnie alterne<\/h2>\n<p>La campagne su\u00e9doise a un visage unique : deux victoires, et Gy\u00f6keres buteur dans les deux, contre la Roumanie puis devant 24 637 spectateurs contre la Pologne. Mais sans Ekdal, ni Holm, ni Lagerbielke, la d\u00e9fense su\u00e9doise se reconstruit pi\u00e8ce par pi\u00e8ce, Lindel\u00f6f, Starfelt et Skoglund formant le rideau \u00e0 trois, et la Bosnie, port\u00e9e par un stade plein, a les armes pour la toucher.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Date<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">\u00c9quipe<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Adversaire<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>28\/09<\/td>\n<td>Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine<\/td>\n<td>Roumanie<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des nations<\/td>\n<td>4-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>25\/09<\/td>\n<td>Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine<\/td>\n<td>Pologne<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des nations<\/td>\n<td>0-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>02\/07<\/td>\n<td>Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine<\/td>\n<td>\u00c9tats-Unis<\/td>\n<td>Coupe du monde<\/td>\n<td>0-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>18\/06<\/td>\n<td>Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine<\/td>\n<td>Suisse<\/td>\n<td>Coupe du monde<\/td>\n<td>1-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>28\/09<\/td>\n<td>Su\u00e8de<\/td>\n<td>Pologne<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des nations<\/td>\n<td>3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>25\/09<\/td>\n<td>Su\u00e8de<\/td>\n<td>Roumanie<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des nations<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>30\/06<\/td>\n<td>Su\u00e8de<\/td>\n<td>France<\/td>\n<td>Coupe du monde<\/td>\n<td>0-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20\/06<\/td>\n<td>Su\u00e8de<\/td>\n<td>Pays-Bas<\/td>\n<td>Coupe du monde<\/td>\n<td>1-5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>La Bosnie, elle, a altern\u00e9 : muette contre la Pologne, lib\u00e9r\u00e9e en Roumanie. Les deux s\u00e9lections ne se sont plus affront\u00e9es depuis 2010 : pas de rep\u00e8re direct, ce match se lit par les absents et par la forme.<\/p>\n<h2>Les deux \u00e9quipes marquent \u00e0 1,615 : le prix est d\u00e9j\u00e0 juste<\/h2>\n<p>Jeudi, la Su\u00e8de cote 2,45 chez Bet365 (2,10 \u00e0 l&#8217;ouverture) ; la Bosnie est pass\u00e9e de 3,80 \u00e0 3,10 chez 10BET. Ce mouvement a commenc\u00e9 avant l&#8217;annonce des cinq malades : rien ne dit que le march\u00e9 a fini de l&#8217;int\u00e9grer.<\/p>\n<p>Je prends les deux \u00e9quipes marquent \u00e0 1,615 chez Betway. Je donne 66 % \u00e0 un but de chaque c\u00f4t\u00e9 ; la cote en promet 62, et mon estimation ne s&#8217;\u00e9carte plus assez de celle du march\u00e9 : mise minimale, 0,25 unit\u00e9 (25 $), au quart de <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">Kelly<\/a>. Les deux \u00e9quipes marquent : +15,38 $. Une des deux reste muette : \u221225 $. L&#8217;h\u00e9catombe su\u00e9doise coupe dans les deux sens : moins de cr\u00e9ateurs autour de Gy\u00f6keres, mais une d\u00e9fense \u00e0 refaire face \u00e0 une Bosnie port\u00e9e par son stade. Les compositions officielles suivent cette double lecture : les deux \u00e9quipes d\u00e9marrent avec leurs deux attaquants. Le sc\u00e9nario qui fait perdre ce pari existe : c&#8217;est celui du match contre la Pologne, une Bosnie qui n&#8217;ouvre pas le score.<\/p>\n<p>Ce pronostic rejoint mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>, quel qu&#8217;en soit le r\u00e9sultat. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>Gy\u00f6keres a marqu\u00e9, Zenica a r\u00e9pondu<\/h2>\n<p>Gy\u00f6keres a ouvert pour la Su\u00e8de, Alajbegovi\u0107 a \u00e9galis\u00e9 en fin de match pour la Bosnie : 1-1 au Bilino Polje, et l&#8217;adieu de D\u017eeko se termine par un nul, sans le but du d\u00e9part. La double lecture que je faisais de l&#8217;h\u00e9catombe su\u00e9doise s&#8217;est \u00e9crite telle quelle : moins de cr\u00e9ateurs autour de Gy\u00f6keres, une d\u00e9fense \u00e0 refaire face \u00e0 un stade plein.<\/p>\n<p>Les deux \u00e9quipes marquent, pris \u00e0 1,615 chez Betway, est gagn\u00e9 : mise minimale, 0,25 unit\u00e9, +15,38 $. Chaque \u00e9quipe a trouv\u00e9 le filet une fois ; la cote avait bien mesur\u00e9 ce match, et ma mise l&#8217;a bien suivie.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gy\u00f6keres puis Alajbegovi\u0107 : 1-1 \u00e0 Zenica pour l&#8217;adieu de D\u017eeko. Mon pari, les deux \u00e9quipes marquent, est gagn\u00e9 : +15,38 $.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":4089,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Bosnie contre Su\u00e8de : 1-1 \u00e0 Zenica, Gy\u00f6keres puis Alajbegovi\u0107 pour l&#8217;adieu de D\u017eeko. Mon pari, les deux marquent, passe, +15,38 $.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine","ba_away_name":"Su\u00e8de","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-02 18:45:00","ba_venue":"Stadion Bilino Polje","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1528929","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"p0fjoqx1fur","author_id":4,"market":"Les deux \u00e9quipes marquent","selection":"Oui","bookmaker":"Betway","market_key":"btts","selection_key":"yes","line":null,"odds":1.615,"stake_units":0.25,"stake_amount":25,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":15.38,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"won","recorded_at":"2026-09-30 15:40:33","settled_at":"2026-10-02 20:45:04","probability":0.66,"p_market":0.5767,"p_used":0.6184,"edge":-0.0014,"market_margin":0.0757,"market_books":7,"closing_odds":1.5,"p_close":0.628,"clv":0.0142,"stake_rule":"min_no_value"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,45],"class_list":["post-2971","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-ligue-des-nations"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pour l&#8217;adieu de D\u017eeko, la Bosnie re\u00e7oit une Su\u00e8de amoindrie \u00e0 Zenica &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Bosnie contre Su\u00e8de : 1-1 \u00e0 Zenica, Gy\u00f6keres puis Alajbegovi\u0107 pour l&#8217;adieu de D\u017eeko. 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