{"id":3020,"date":"2026-09-30T17:59:55","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T15:59:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/le-racing-donne-a-116-face-a-perpignan-na-toujours-pas-gagne-a-creteil\/"},"modified":"2026-10-03T19:10:30","modified_gmt":"2026-10-03T17:10:30","slug":"racing-92-usa-perpignan-pronostic-2026-10-03","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/rugby\/top-14\/racing-92-usa-perpignan-pronostic-2026-10-03\/","title":{"rendered":"Le Racing, donn\u00e9 \u00e0 1,18 face \u00e0 Perpignan, n&#8217;a toujours pas gagn\u00e9 \u00e0 Cr\u00e9teil"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Samedi, le Racing 92 menait 17-10 face \u00e0 Bayonne, chez lui \u00e0 Cr\u00e9teil. Il a fini battu 17-20, apr\u00e8s deux cartons jaunes en dix minutes et vingt minutes pass\u00e9es \u00e0 quatorze. Treizi\u00e8me du Top 14 avec cinq points, une seule victoire en quatre journ\u00e9es, il est quand m\u00eame donn\u00e9 \u00e0 1,18 contre Perpignan vendredi chez Betway : 1,22 \u00e0 l&#8217;ouverture, 1,16 quand j&#8217;ai \u00e9crit ces lignes. Deux relev\u00e9s successifs, un seul verdict. Voil\u00e0 ce que le march\u00e9 pense de l&#8217;USAP. Moi, je regarde ce match de l&#8217;autre c\u00f4t\u00e9 de la ligne.<\/p>\n<h2>La discipline met le Racing dedans<\/h2>\n<p>La seule victoire est venue de l&#8217;ext\u00e9rieur, 20-10 \u00e0 La Rochelle. \u00c0 Cr\u00e9teil, le Racing a perdu contre Lyon (31-48) puis contre Bayonne, apr\u00e8s avoir men\u00e9 de sept points. La saison avait commenc\u00e9 par une correction \u00e0 Bordeaux, 64-5. Patrice Collazo l&#8217;a dit apr\u00e8s Bayonne : \u00ab La discipline, c&#8217;est ce qui nous met dedans \u00bb. Hassane Kolingar a pris un jaune \u00e0 la 75e, l&#8217;essai de Lucas Martin est tomb\u00e9 \u00e0 la 77e, et le bonus d\u00e9fensif rep\u00each\u00e9 \u00e0 la fin ne change pas le fond du probl\u00e8me : ce Racing se saborde.<\/p>\n<p>Pour recevoir Perpignan, Collazo compose toujours sans Wame Naituvi, suspendu, ni L\u00e9o Carbonneau, \u00e0 l&#8217;infirmerie. <a href=\"https:\/\/top14.lnr.fr\/feuille-de-match\/2026-2027\/j5\/11853-racing-92-perpignan\/compositions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Aucune composition n&#8217;a filtr\u00e9 \u00e0 la veille du match<\/a> : la feuille de la LNR attend les deux \u00e9quipes, avec Thibault Santamaria au sifflet.<\/p>\n<h2>Tedder a remis l&#8217;USAP en marche<\/h2>\n<p>Perpignan sort de deux victoires nettes \u00e0 Aim\u00e9-Giral, 43-29 contre Castres puis 38-25 contre Bordeaux-B\u00e8gles samedi. Tristan Tedder, repositionn\u00e9 \u00e0 l&#8217;arri\u00e8re, a tout fait contre UBB : un essai, une passe d\u00e9cisive, cinq coups de pied sur cinq, seize points et un 50-22 d\u00e9cisif. Neuvi\u00e8me avec neuf points, l&#8217;USAP voyage mal : battue 28-26 chez le Stade Fran\u00e7ais, corrig\u00e9e 50-13 \u00e0 Montpellier, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lindependant.fr\/2026\/09\/29\/top-14-le-racing-92-en-difficulte-a-creteil-lusap-sans-victoire-a-lexterieur-depuis-deux-ans-comment-expliquer-la-baisse-des-performances-loin-de-ses-13572721.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sans victoire \u00e0 l&#8217;ext\u00e9rieur depuis deux ans<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>L&#8217;infirmerie s&#8217;est remplie samedi soir, et elle p\u00e8sera sur les choix de Laurent Labit :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lindependant.fr\/2026\/09\/26\/top-14-ca-va-etre-difficile-pour-lui-cest-une-blessure-assez-importante-laurent-labit-donne-des-nouvelles-de-joaquin-oviedo-et-des-autres-blesses-de-13570341.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Joaqu\u00edn Oviedo, sorti d&#8217;Aim\u00e9-Giral en b\u00e9quilles<\/a> ; Labit annonce une absence pour \u00ab une grosse partie de la saison \u00bb ;<\/li>\n<li>Paolo Garbisi, commotionn\u00e9, et Ignacio Ruiz, touch\u00e9 \u00e0 la vo\u00fbte plantaire, sans nouvelle officielle depuis ;<\/li>\n<li>une liste de sept indisponibles qui circule toujours sans confirmation du club, Sevu Reece compris.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Aucun point m\u00e9dical officiel n&#8217;est sorti de Perpignan : la composition catalane sera une devinette jusqu&#8217;au bout. Une certitude quand m\u00eame : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lindependant.fr\/2026\/10\/01\/top-14-un-club-comme-lusap-cest-ce-que-je-recherchais-dans-mon-parcours-professionnel-cedate-gomes-sa-decouvre-avec-passion-son-nouvel-environnement-13576927.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">C\u00e9date Gomes Sa, pilier droit venu de Lyon, remis de sa blessure<\/a>, s&#8217;appr\u00eate \u00e0 jouer samedi.<\/p>\n<p>Les quatre premi\u00e8res journ\u00e9es, c\u00f4te \u00e0 c\u00f4te :<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Journ\u00e9e<\/th>\n<th>Racing 92<\/th>\n<th>USA Perpignan<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>J1<\/td>\n<td>battu 64-5 \u00e0 Bordeaux<\/td>\n<td>battu 28-26 chez le Stade Fran\u00e7ais<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>J2<\/td>\n<td>battu 31-48 par Lyon<\/td>\n<td>vainqueur 43-29 de Castres<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>J3<\/td>\n<td>vainqueur 20-10 \u00e0 La Rochelle<\/td>\n<td>battu 50-13 \u00e0 Montpellier<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>J4<\/td>\n<td>battu 17-20 par Bayonne<\/td>\n<td>vainqueur 38-25 de Bordeaux-B\u00e8gles<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Le Racing gagnera, mais de combien ?<\/h2>\n<p>Le Racing va probablement gagner ce match : plus de ressources, face \u00e0 un voyageur amoindri. Le terrain lui-m\u00eame n&#8217;aide gu\u00e8re : deux d\u00e9faites en deux sorties \u00e0 Cr\u00e9teil, et <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lindependant.fr\/2026\/09\/29\/top-14-le-racing-92-en-difficulte-a-creteil-lusap-sans-victoire-a-lexterieur-depuis-deux-ans-comment-expliquer-la-baisse-des-performances-loin-de-ses-13572721.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">L&#8217;Ind\u00e9pendant parle d&#8217;un match \u00ab quasiment sur terrain neutre \u00bb<\/a>. Le parieur, lui, demande de combien. La derni\u00e8re confrontation entre les deux s&#8217;est jou\u00e9e \u00e0 six points, 37-31 pour le Racing le 31 janvier. Un Racing qui joue vingt minutes \u00e0 quatorze chez lui, une USAP qui met trente-huit points \u00e0 Bordeaux-B\u00e8gles  : je ne vois pas treize points d&#8217;\u00e9cart. Le march\u00e9 place la ligne \u00e0 12,5, avec 1,91 chez 1xbet pour l&#8217;USAP et 1,90 chez Bet365 pour le Racing : la ligne dit un match serr\u00e9, la cote du vainqueur dit une balade. Mon argent suit la ligne.<\/p>\n<h2>Mon pari : Perpignan avec douze points et demi d&#8217;avance<\/h2>\n<p>Je prends USA Perpignan +12,5 points \u00e0 1,91 chez 1xbet. Gagn\u00e9 si l&#8217;USAP gagne, fait nul ou perd de douze points ou moins ; perdu si elle perd de treize points ou plus. Je donne 56 % de chances \u00e0 ce pari, l\u00e0 o\u00f9 la cote en promet \u00e0 peine une sur deux. L&#8217;\u00e9cart est \u00e9troit, la mise aussi : 0,25 unit\u00e9, soit 25 $, pour 22,75 $ de gain potentiel. Pour refaire le calcul, le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> donne la m\u00eame mise.<\/p>\n<p>Ce pari, gagnant ou perdant, rejoindra mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>Cr\u00e9teil a vu le Racing le plus large de la saison<\/h2>\n<p>Racing 92 a battu Perpignan 55-25. Trente points d&#8217;\u00e9cart : la ligne \u00e0 12,5 ne s&#8217;est jamais approch\u00e9e du score, et l&#8217;USAP reste sans victoire \u00e0 l&#8217;ext\u00e9rieur. J&#8217;attendais le match serr\u00e9 que laissait esp\u00e9rer la derni\u00e8re confrontation, jou\u00e9e \u00e0 six points ; Cr\u00e9teil a sorti la plus large victoire du Racing depuis le d\u00e9but de la saison.<\/p>\n<p>USA Perpignan +12,5 points \u00e0 1,91 chez 1xbet est perdu, 25 $ de mise minimale. Mon pari tenait \u00e0 un Racing qui se saborde tout seul : il ne s&#8217;est pas sabord\u00e9, et la protection catalane a pay\u00e9 pour \u00e7a. Le prix du vainqueur \u00e0 1,18 avait raison jusqu&#8217;au bout.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Racing 92 a battu Perpignan 55-25, par trente points : mon pari USAP +12,5 points \u00e0 1,91 est perdu, 25 $ de mise minimale.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":4396,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Racing 92 &#8211; USA Perpignan : le favori, \u00e0 1,18, n&#8217;a pas encore gagn\u00e9 \u00e0 Cr\u00e9teil. Pronostic et mise : Perpignan +12,5 points \u00e0 1,91 chez 1xbet.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Racing 92","ba_away_name":"USA Perpignan","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-03 14:35:00","ba_venue":"","ba_match_key":"api-sports:rugby:54110","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"pkuoxlkzeoj","author_id":8,"market":"Handicap","selection":"USA Perpignan +12,5 points","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"spread","selection_key":"away","line":12.5,"odds":1.91,"stake_units":0.25,"stake_amount":25,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":22.75,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"lost","recorded_at":"2026-09-30 16:04:20","settled_at":"2026-10-03 16:30:07","probability":0.56,"p_market":0.5,"p_used":0.53,"edge":0.0123,"market_margin":0.0811,"market_books":3,"closing_odds":1.92,"p_close":0.4853,"clv":-0.0731,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[39,100],"class_list":["post-3020","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-rugby","ba_sport-top-14"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Le Racing, donn\u00e9 \u00e0 1,18 face \u00e0 Perpignan, n&#8217;a toujours pas gagn\u00e9 \u00e0 Cr\u00e9teil &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Racing 92 &#8211; USA Perpignan : le favori, \u00e0 1,18, n&#8217;a pas encore gagn\u00e9 \u00e0 Cr\u00e9teil. 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