{"id":3318,"date":"2026-10-01T11:36:35","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T09:36:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/panathinaikos-maccabi-tel-aviv-pronostic-2026-10-02\/"},"modified":"2026-10-02T23:11:11","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T21:11:11","slug":"panathinaikos-maccabi-tel-aviv-pronostic-2026-10-02","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/basket\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-maccabi-tel-aviv-pronostic-2026-10-02\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c0 Ath\u00e8nes, un Panathinaikos \u00e0 cinq absents reste \u00e0 1,20 face au Maccabi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Panathinaikos a commenc\u00e9 la saison comme un train : 91-72 contre Paris, 102-79 contre Villeurbanne. Le Maccabi a tout perdu, 74-84 \u00e0 l&#8217;ASVEL puis 93-109 contre Besiktas. Sur le papier, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/euroleague\/game-center\/2026-27\/panathinaikos-aktor-athens-maccabi-rapyd-tel-aviv\/E2026\/30\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ce match<\/a> est pli\u00e9. Sur la feuille d&#8217;infirmerie, il l&#8217;est beaucoup moins : cinq Grecs manquaient \u00e0 la derni\u00e8re journ\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<h2>Le retour d&#8217;Obradovi\u0107 se joue sans cinq cadres<\/h2>\n<p>\u017deljko Obradovi\u0107 est revenu au club quatorze ans apr\u00e8s l&#8217;avoir quitt\u00e9, et il gagne : 2-0, avec 19 et 23 points d&#8217;\u00e9cart. Mais le banc s&#8217;est \u00e9largi par obligation : contre Villeurbanne, Mantzoukas (16 points) et Rogkavopoulos (12) ont pris les minutes des absents, avec Moraitis, Kalaitzakis et Mitoglou tr\u00e8s utilis\u00e9s. Le vieux coach refuse l&#8217;excuse : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eurohoops.net\/el\/euroleague-el-2\/2014158\/panathinaikos-gematos-apousies-kontra-sti-vilermpan-gia-to-2-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00ab Elles sont nombreuses, mais on ne va pas pleurer pour elles. \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Les <a href=\"https:\/\/basketballsphere.com\/en\/injuries\/euroleague\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cinq absents signal\u00e9s \u00e0 la deuxi\u00e8me journ\u00e9e<\/a> :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Nunn, d\u00e9chirure du m\u00e9nisque droit, retour annonc\u00e9 vers la quatri\u00e8me journ\u00e9e ;<\/li>\n<li>Sloukas, en r\u00e9\u00e9ducation, sans date ;<\/li>\n<li>Hayes-Davis, fracture du quatri\u00e8me m\u00e9tacarpien gauche, un retour anticip\u00e9 \u00e9voqu\u00e9 mais rien de confirm\u00e9 ;<\/li>\n<li>Fall, ischio-jambiers ;<\/li>\n<li>Hernangomez, spasme de l&#8217;adducteur droit, une dizaine de jours.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Le rapport officiel de la troisi\u00e8me journ\u00e9e n&#8217;est pas encore publi\u00e9 : je parle d&#8217;absents de la deuxi\u00e8me journ\u00e9e, pas de forfaits d\u00e9finitifs pour vendredi.<\/p>\n<h2>Le Maccabi voyage aussi all\u00e9g\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>Chez les Isra\u00e9liens, DiBartolomeo n&#8217;a pas fait le d\u00e9placement de la deuxi\u00e8me journ\u00e9e pour raisons personnelles, Gur Lavi et Hunter \u00e9taient absents, et T.J. Leaf est requalifi\u00e9 depuis ce m\u00eame match. L&#8217;\u00e9quipe s&#8217;est entra\u00een\u00e9e \u00e0 Belgrade avant de rallier Ath\u00e8nes, avec un <a href=\"https:\/\/maccabi.co.il\/games\/panathinaikos-aktor-athens-02-10-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">objectif affich\u00e9<\/a> : la premi\u00e8re victoire de la saison dans le volcan ath\u00e9nien. Les confrontations laissent du travail : 21-21 en 42 matchs, mais le Panathinaikos a gagn\u00e9 quatre des cinq derniers.<\/p>\n<h2>Le prix du match n&#8217;est plus le vainqueur<\/h2>\n<p>Jeudi, le Panathinaikos vainqueur se paie 1,15 chez BetMGM, environ 87 % de chances de victoire ; le Maccabi affiche 6,10 chez 1xbet. Le march\u00e9 a continu\u00e9 de pencher vers Ath\u00e8nes : la ligne principale du handicap est pass\u00e9e de 10,5 \u00e0 11 points depuis la r\u00e9daction. Ath\u00e8nes favori, avec un coussin qui s&#8217;est \u00e9largi d&#8217;un demi-point.<\/p>\n<h2>Mon pari : Maccabi +10,5, une unit\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>Je prends le Maccabi +10,5 \u00e0 2,00 chez 888Sport. Le pari passe si le Maccabi gagne ou perd de dix points au plus, prolongations comprises ; il est perdu au-del\u00e0 de onze points de d\u00e9faite. Je lui donne 54 % de chances, le march\u00e9 49,8 : l&#8217;\u00e9cart vient des absents grecs, qui poussent Obradovi\u0107 \u00e0 \u00e9tendre sa rotation pour \u00e9conomiser ses cadres. La mise calcul\u00e9e : une unit\u00e9, 100 $. Gagn\u00e9, +100 $ ; perdu, -100 $. Deux r\u00e9serves, pour \u00eatre honn\u00eate : les deux victoires grecques ont \u00e9t\u00e9 larges, et l&#8217;\u00e9tat r\u00e9el de l&#8217;effectif ath\u00e9nien ne sera connu qu&#8217;au rapport d&#8217;avant-match. Le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> ajuste cette mise \u00e0 votre bankroll ; le pari passera par mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>, gagn\u00e9 ou perdu. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>Hayes-Davis est revenu, le match n&#8217;a pas eu lieu<\/h2>\n<p>Le rapport d&#8217;avant-match a confirm\u00e9 le retour de Nigel Hayes-Davis, dont je citais la fracture au m\u00e9tacarpien parmi les absents de la deuxi\u00e8me journ\u00e9e. Avec lui, le Panathinaikos a sign\u00e9 sa troisi\u00e8me d\u00e9monstration d&#8217;affil\u00e9e : 90-67, vingt-trois points d&#8217;\u00e9cart, toujours invaincu.<\/p>\n<p>Maccabi +10,5 \u00e0 2,00 est perdu, une unit\u00e9, -100 $. Ma lecture reposait sur une infirmerie grecque qui allait durer ; elle a rendu un homme avant le coup d&#8217;envoi, et l&#8217;\u00e9cart final d\u00e9passe de plus de douze points la ligne que le Maccabi devait couvrir. Le march\u00e9, qui avait pouss\u00e9 le handicap \u00e0 11, a mieux lu que moi l&#8217;\u00e9tat de l&#8217;effectif ath\u00e9nien.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Panathinaikos a battu le Maccabi 90-67, Hayes-Davis de retour : mon pari Maccabi +10,5 est perdu, une unit\u00e9, -100 $.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":4054,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Panathinaikos contre Maccabi : les Grecs ont roul\u00e9 90-67 avec Hayes-Davis de retour. 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