{"id":4241,"date":"2026-10-03T12:03:39","date_gmt":"2026-10-03T10:03:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/roumanie-suede-une-charniere-a-reconstruire-face-a-gyokeres\/"},"modified":"2026-10-05T23:10:38","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T21:10:38","slug":"roumanie-suede-pronostic-2026-10-05","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-des-nations\/roumanie-suede-pronostic-2026-10-05\/","title":{"rendered":"Roumanie \u2013 Su\u00e8de : une charni\u00e8re \u00e0 reconstruire face \u00e0 Gy\u00f6keres"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Vendredi \u00e0 Varsovie, la Roumanie a perdu ses deux d\u00e9fenseurs centraux en une soir\u00e9e : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gsp.ro\/fotbal\/nationala\/aparare-decimata-romania-suedia-virgil-ghita-suspendat-984238.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Dr\u0103gu\u0219in expuls\u00e9 \u00e0 la 22e minute<\/a> pour une faute sur Lewandowski, penalty \u00e0 la cl\u00e9, puis Ghi\u021b\u0103 averti deux fois. Le 0-6 est pass\u00e9 par l\u00e0, et la facture tombe sur le match de lundi : l&#8217;Arena Na\u021bional\u0103 re\u00e7oit la Su\u00e8de, leader du groupe avec 7 points, avec une charni\u00e8re \u00e0 reconstruire de z\u00e9ro.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Dr\u0103gu\u0219in et Ghi\u021b\u0103, les deux centraux titulaires, suspendus pour lundi.<\/li>\n<li>Denis Dr\u0103gu\u0219 et Florinel Coman, bless\u00e9s, hors du groupe pour toute la fen\u00eatre.<\/li>\n<li>Chez la Su\u00e8de, Starfelt, touch\u00e9 \u00e0 l&#8217;arri\u00e8re de la cuisse face \u00e0 la Bosnie vendredi, a quitt\u00e9 le groupe pour sa r\u00e9\u00e9ducation \u00e0 Celta Vigo, et <a href=\"https:\/\/www.svenskfotboll.se\/nyheter\/landslag\/2026\/10\/victor-eriksson-kallas-in\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">la f\u00e9d\u00e9ration a appel\u00e9 Victor Eriksson (Hammarby) en urgence<\/a> ; l&#8217;onze officiel aligne Smith \u00e0 c\u00f4t\u00e9 de Lindel\u00f6f, et non le rappel Eriksson ; Isak, lui, avait d\u00e9j\u00e0 quitt\u00e9 le camp apr\u00e8s l&#8217;aller, fin septembre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Une charni\u00e8re neuve, quatre-vingt-dix minutes de doute<\/h2>\n<p>Une charni\u00e8re qui n&#8217;a jamais jou\u00e9 ensemble se paie sur des d\u00e9tails : qui couvre le premier attaquant, qui relance, qui commande la sortie de balle quand le pressing tombe. Face \u00e0 elle, il y aura Gy\u00f6keres, buteur lors des trois matchs su\u00e9dois de ce groupe, dont le 2-1 de l&#8217;aller le 25 septembre. Une d\u00e9fense qui se d\u00e9couvre une fois lui laisse une demi-occasion, et une demi-occasion lui suffit.<\/p>\n<p>Cinq noms circulent en Roumanie, <a href=\"https:\/\/hurbra.se\/dragusin-avstangd-mot-sverige-5-oktober-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Coubi\u0219, Burc\u0103, Racovi\u021ban, Ilie ou Eissat<\/a>, et le duo n&#8217;\u00e9tait pas arr\u00eat\u00e9 ce samedi ; l&#8217;onze officiel a tranch\u00e9 : Coubi\u0219 et Ilie au centre, Ra\u021biu et Bancu sur les c\u00f4t\u00e9s. Le climat p\u00e8se : Hagi s&#8217;est dit premier responsable de la d\u00e9b\u00e2cle et \u00e9carte toute question de d\u00e9mission, quand Balint et Prunea demandent son d\u00e9part.<\/p>\n<h2>La Su\u00e8de en t\u00eate, mais vid\u00e9e par la semaine<\/h2>\n<p>Sept points, deux victoires, un nul : la Su\u00e8de a r\u00e9gl\u00e9 le terrain, pas son infirmerie. Cette semaine encore, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.svt.se\/sport\/fotboll\/sveriges-herrlandslag-i-fotboll?inlagg=01b64016c2792ee725779d285275e9b4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">quatre joueurs ont quitt\u00e9 le groupe malades<\/a>, dont le d\u00e9fenseur Mellberg, et le staff a multipli\u00e9 les rappels d&#8217;urgence. Vendredi, la Bosnie les a accroch\u00e9s 1-1 sur un but de Gy\u00f6keres. Le bloc vit au ras : un but encaiss\u00e9 dans chacun des trois matchs du groupe, et pas un clean sheet pour Graham Potter depuis sa prise de fonction.<\/p>\n<p>La forme des deux \u00e9quipes, cinq matchs :<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">\u00c9quipe<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Date<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Adversaire<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Roumanie<\/td>\n<td>02\/10<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des nations<\/td>\n<td>Pologne (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>0-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Roumanie<\/td>\n<td>28\/09<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des nations<\/td>\n<td>Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>2-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Roumanie<\/td>\n<td>25\/09<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des nations<\/td>\n<td>Su\u00e8de (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Roumanie<\/td>\n<td>06\/06<\/td>\n<td>Amical<\/td>\n<td>Pays de Galles (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Roumanie<\/td>\n<td>02\/06<\/td>\n<td>Amical<\/td>\n<td>G\u00e9orgie (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Su\u00e8de<\/td>\n<td>02\/10<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des nations<\/td>\n<td>Bosnie-Herz\u00e9govine (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Su\u00e8de<\/td>\n<td>28\/09<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des nations<\/td>\n<td>Pologne (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Su\u00e8de<\/td>\n<td>25\/09<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des nations<\/td>\n<td>Roumanie (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Su\u00e8de<\/td>\n<td>30\/06<\/td>\n<td>Coupe du monde<\/td>\n<td>France (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>0-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Su\u00e8de<\/td>\n<td>25\/06<\/td>\n<td>Coupe du monde<\/td>\n<td>Japon (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Un prix qui a d\u00e9j\u00e0 boug\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>La Su\u00e8de a raccourci tout le week-end : 1,95 en d\u00e9but de semaine, 1,89 chez 10BET samedi au moment du pari, 1,78 au meilleur prix dimanche ; la Roumanie a gliss\u00e9 de 4,10 \u00e0 4,50. \u00c0 1,78, le march\u00e9 donne \u00e0 la Su\u00e8de un peu plus de 56 %, presque ma lecture : je reste \u00e0 57 %, sans transposer le 0-6, qui s&#8217;est jou\u00e9 \u00e0 dix contre onze pendant plus d&#8217;une heure.<\/p>\n<h2>La Su\u00e8de \u00e0 1,89, sans exc\u00e8s<\/h2>\n<p>L&#8217;\u00e9cart avec le march\u00e9 \u00e9tait r\u00e9el samedi ; le march\u00e9 l&#8217;a presque combl\u00e9 depuis, et la mise prise le dit : 0,75 unit\u00e9, soit 75 $, sur la victoire su\u00e9doise \u00e0 1,89 chez 10BET. Le sc\u00e9nario gagnant : un but su\u00e9dois t\u00f4t, une charni\u00e8re roumaine sans rep\u00e8re collectif qui recule jusqu&#8217;\u00e0 la faute. Le sc\u00e9nario perdant : une Arena chauff\u00e9e \u00e0 bloc, un bloc bas qui tient quatre-vingt-dix minutes, des Su\u00e9dois \u00e0 court de fra\u00eecheur. Victoire su\u00e9doise dans le temps r\u00e9glementaire : +66,75 $. Nul ou victoire roumaine : -75 $.<\/p>\n<p>Pour recalculer une mise chez vous, le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> fait le travail, et mes pronostics, gagn\u00e9s comme perdus, restent sur le <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>Gy\u00f6keres a suffi<\/h2>\n<p>La Su\u00e8de a gagn\u00e9 0-1 \u00e0 Bucarest, et le sc\u00e9nario gagnant que je d\u00e9crivais s&#8217;est \u00e9crit presque au mot pr\u00e8s : Gy\u00f6keres a marqu\u00e9 \u00e0 la 13e minute, son quatri\u00e8me but en quatre matchs dans ce groupe, face \u00e0 la charni\u00e8re in\u00e9dite de Coubi\u0219 et Ilie. La Roumanie, quatri\u00e8me d\u00e9faite en autant de matchs, n&#8217;a jamais trouv\u00e9 le fil, et la Su\u00e8de finit la fen\u00eatre seule en t\u00eate, avec dix points.<\/p>\n<p>Le pari, la victoire su\u00e9doise \u00e0 1,89, est gagn\u00e9 : 0,75 unit\u00e9, 66,75 $. Un but t\u00f4t, une d\u00e9fense sans rep\u00e8re collectif qui recule : le match a march\u00e9 tout seul. La Su\u00e8de repart avec dix points sur douze et son premier match du groupe sans encaisser.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La Su\u00e8de a gagn\u00e9 0-1 \u00e0 Bucarest, Gy\u00f6keres d\u00e8s la 13e : mon pari \u00e0 1,89 est gagn\u00e9, 0,75 unit\u00e9, et la Su\u00e8de finit seule en t\u00eate.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":5266,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Roumanie \u2013 Su\u00e8de : deux centraux suspendus, Starfelt forfait c\u00f4t\u00e9 su\u00e9dois. Je maintiens la Su\u00e8de \u00e0 1,89 chez 10BET, 0,75 unit\u00e9.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Roumanie","ba_away_name":"Su\u00e8de","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-05 18:45:00","ba_venue":"Arena Na\u021bional\u0103","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1528949","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"pm0dhegwrn9","author_id":4,"market":"Victoire (1N2)","selection":"Su\u00e8de","bookmaker":"10BET","market_key":"ml","selection_key":"away","line":null,"odds":1.89,"stake_units":0.75,"stake_amount":75,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":66.75,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"won","recorded_at":"2026-10-03 10:04:49","settled_at":"2026-10-05 20:45:05","probability":0.57,"p_market":0.513,"p_used":0.5415,"edge":0.0234,"market_margin":0.0679,"market_books":8,"closing_odds":1.95,"p_close":0.4926,"clv":-0.069,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,45],"class_list":["post-4241","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-ligue-des-nations"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Roumanie \u2013 Su\u00e8de : une charni\u00e8re \u00e0 reconstruire face \u00e0 Gy\u00f6keres &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Roumanie \u2013 Su\u00e8de : deux centraux suspendus, Starfelt forfait c\u00f4t\u00e9 su\u00e9dois. 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