{"id":5631,"date":"2026-10-07T11:51:35","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T09:51:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/real-madrid-partizan-mozzart-bet-pronostic-2026-10-08\/"},"modified":"2026-10-08T23:29:52","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T21:29:52","slug":"real-madrid-partizan-mozzart-bet-pronostic-2026-10-08","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/basket\/euroleague\/real-madrid-partizan-mozzart-bet-pronostic-2026-10-08\/","title":{"rendered":"Real Madrid &#8211; Partizan Mozzart Bet : 0-3 partout, sauf \u00e0 Madrid"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Duba\u00ef, Istanbul, Tel-Aviv : trois d\u00e9placements, trois d\u00e9faites. Le Real Madrid traverse le pire d\u00e9but d&#8217;EuroLeague de son <a href=\"https:\/\/basketnews.com\/news-256556-real-madrid-make-unwanted-euroleague-history-with-another-loss.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">histoire<\/a>, et le Movistar Arena n&#8217;a encore rien vu de sa saison. La premi\u00e8re r\u00e9ception arrive jeudi soir, et elle tombe sur l&#8217;un des invaincus de la comp\u00e9tition.<\/p>\n<h2>Un 0-3 construit loin de Madrid<\/h2>\n<p>Le d\u00e9tail change la lecture. Les trois revers sont tous tomb\u00e9s \u00e0 l&#8217;ext\u00e9rieur, \u00e0 Duba\u00ef, \u00e0 Istanbul puis \u00e0 Tel-Aviv, contre des \u00e9quipes qui comptent en ce d\u00e9but de saison. Et ce Real-l\u00e0 reste le vainqueur de la Supercoupe d&#8217;EuroLeague, gagn\u00e9e \u00e0 Duba\u00ef face \u00e0 Olympiacos \u00e0 la reprise. Pedro Mart\u00ednez, l&#8217;entra\u00eeneur arriv\u00e9 cet \u00e9t\u00e9, n&#8217;a donc pas encore montr\u00e9 son \u00e9quipe \u00e0 son public. \u00ab Un 0-3 chez eux ne doit pas nous tromper : ils ont gagn\u00e9 la Supercoupe, et leurs trois d\u00e9faites \u00e9taient \u00e0 l&#8217;ext\u00e9rieur, contre de bonnes \u00e9quipes \u00bb, a <a href=\"https:\/\/sportklub.rs\/kosarka\/euroleague\/partizan-real-madrid-lamar-stevens-derek-willis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pr\u00e9venu Pe\u00f1arroya<\/a>, son homologue du Partizan.<\/p>\n<h2>Partizan, la surprise chiffr\u00e9e du championnat<\/h2>\n<p>Face \u00e0 lui, un Partizan \u00e0 3-0 qui ne doit rien au calendrier : Milan battu 92-76, Paris 92-79, puis le Bayern 86-84. Trente-neuf interceptions en trois matchs, le meilleur total de la comp\u00e9tition, pour la quatri\u00e8me d\u00e9fense d&#8217;EuroLeague. Le projet Pe\u00f1arroya, lanc\u00e9 en d\u00e9cembre 2025 avec huit recrues, tourne autour de Carlik Jones (18,7 points, 6,7 passes), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eurohoops.net\/en\/euroleague\/2012525\/round-1-mvp-carlik-jones-partizan-mozzart-bet-belgrade\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MVP de la premi\u00e8re journ\u00e9e<\/a>, et de Tonye Jekiri (13 points) ; la presse espagnole parle d\u00e9j\u00e0 de l&#8217;une des grandes surprises de la saison.<\/p>\n<h2>Les absents d&#8217;un c\u00f4t\u00e9, la fatigue de l&#8217;autre<\/h2>\n<p>Le revers serbe : un groupe qui s&#8217;amincit et un rythme qui s&#8217;accumule. Joan Pe\u00f1arroya a confirm\u00e9 mardi que Lamar Stevens (main) et Derek Willis restaient hors groupe, avec une infirmerie \u00ab globalement inchang\u00e9e \u00bb ; les minutes ont \u00e9t\u00e9 g\u00e9r\u00e9es contre Mega en ABA lundi, avant le voyage en Espagne. C&#8217;est le quatri\u00e8me match du Partizan en neuf jours, et six de ses neuf premi\u00e8res journ\u00e9es d&#8217;EuroLeague se jouent \u00e0 l&#8217;ext\u00e9rieur.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Partizan : Marinkovi\u0107 (tendon d&#8217;Achille) toujours absent ; Lauvergne, lui, est de retour.<\/li>\n<li>Real : Garuba (tendon d&#8217;Achille) manque ; Sarr et Shulga sont rest\u00e9s hors des douze lors des matchs pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents, et Llull et Procida n&#8217;avaient pas fait le d\u00e9placement : rien de tout cela ne dit un forfait \u00e0 Madrid, \u00e0 confirmer au coup d&#8217;envoi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Neuf duels au Real, dix points de marge<\/h2>\n<p>Le Real reste la b\u00eate noire des Serbes : neuf duels gagn\u00e9s d&#8217;affil\u00e9e, 93-86 \u00e0 Madrid la saison pass\u00e9e, et le Partizan n&#8217;a plus gagn\u00e9 au Movistar Arena depuis le printemps 2023. Pe\u00f1arroya d\u00e9signe Walter Tavares comme la force dominante madril\u00e8ne. Le march\u00e9 a tout mis dans le prix, et il en a remis depuis la publication de l&#8217;analyse : 1,25 chez Unibet pour le Real (ouvert \u00e0 1,22), 4,80 chez BetMGM pour le Partizan, ligne principale du handicap pass\u00e9e de &#8722;9 \u00e0 &#8722;10, total principal mont\u00e9 \u00e0 174,5.<\/p>\n<p>Je ne dispute pas la r\u00e9action madril\u00e8ne devant son public ; je dispute la marge. Un Partizan qui vit de ses interceptions reste dans les matchs serr\u00e9s. Au moment du pari, la ligne principale donnait &#8722;9 : mon +9,5 achetait un demi-point de marge. Elle est mont\u00e9e \u00e0 &#8722;10 ; le pari enregistr\u00e9 ne bouge pas, et ce demi-point joue d\u00e9sormais contre lui. Je donne toujours 54 % aux Serbes pour gagner ou perdre de neuf points au maximum ; \u00e0 1,91 chez 1xbet, la cote en promet \u00e0 peine plus de 52. L&#8217;\u00e9cart avec le march\u00e9 est petit, la mise aussi : 0,25 unit\u00e9, soit 25 $, et le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> dit la m\u00eame chose. Gagn\u00e9 : +22,75 $. Perdu : &#8722;25 $, si le Real s&#8217;impose de dix points ou plus, prolongations comprises.<\/p>\n<p>Ce pari entre dans mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>, quel que soit le r\u00e9sultat. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>86-76 : la premi\u00e8re du Real, et un demi-point de trop<\/h2>\n<p>Le Real Madrid a enfin gagn\u00e9, 86-76, pour la premi\u00e8re r\u00e9ception de sa saison. Le match a \u00e9t\u00e9 pli\u00e9 avant la pause : un 20-3 entre les deux premiers quart-temps, 53-37 \u00e0 la mi-temps, jusqu&#8217;\u00e0 vingt points d&#8217;avance. Le Partizan a bien r\u00e9agi apr\u00e8s le vestiaire, est revenu \u00e0 60-54 dans la 26e minute ; un trois points d&#8217;Okeke et six points de suite ont \u00e9teint la remont\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u00e9o Maledon a men\u00e9 le Real (13 points, 7 sur 7 aux lancers francs), Campazzo en a ajout\u00e9 12 ; Tavares, d\u00e9sign\u00e9 avant le match par Pe\u00f1arroya comme la force dominante, a fini \u00e0 8 points et 8 rebonds. En face, Carlik Jones a encore port\u00e9 les siens : 19 points, dont les huit premiers serbes, et Ethan Thompson 14 et 8 rebonds. Le d\u00e9tail qui a fait la marge : dix lancers manqu\u00e9s sur vingt-sept c\u00f4t\u00e9 serbe, sans Stevens, Willis ni Marinkovi\u0107 ; le Real jouait sans Deck, bless\u00e9 \u00e0 l&#8217;\u00e9paule.<\/p>\n<p>Mon Partizan +9,5 \u00e0 1,91 chez 1xbet est tomb\u00e9 d&#8217;un demi-point : le Real a gagn\u00e9 de dix, la ligne en demandait neuf et demi. Je notais hier que la ligne, pass\u00e9e de &#8722;9 \u00e0 &#8722;10, jouait contre le pari enregistr\u00e9 ; elle a jou\u00e9 jusqu&#8217;au dernier point. La r\u00e9action madril\u00e8ne que je ne disputais pas a eu lieu, et la marge que je disputais ne l&#8217;a pas \u00e9pargn\u00e9e. 25 $ perdus, au bilan ; le Real ouvre <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telemadrid.es\/deportes\/86-76-El-Real-Madrid-estrena-el-casillero-de-victorias-ante-el-Partizan-0-2932806720--20261008105500.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">son compteur de victoires<\/a> (1-3), et le Partizan (3-1) reste dans le haut du tableau.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le Real a enfin gagn\u00e9 86-76 : mon Partizan +9,5 \u00e0 1,91 chez 1xbet (0,25 u) est tomb\u00e9 d&#8217;un demi-point, 25 $ au bilan public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":6337,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Pronostic Real Madrid &#8211; Partizan (EuroLeague, 8 octobre) : le 0-3 madril\u00e8ne n&#8217;a jou\u00e9 qu&#8217;\u00e0 l&#8217;ext\u00e9rieur. Je garde Partizan +9,5 \u00e0 1,91 chez 1xbet.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Real Madrid","ba_away_name":"Partizan Mozzart Bet","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-08 18:45:00","ba_venue":"Movistar Arena","ba_match_key":"api-sports:basketball:508617","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[24,95],"class_list":["post-5631","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-basket","ba_sport-euroleague"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Real Madrid &#8211; Partizan Mozzart Bet : 0-3 partout, sauf \u00e0 Madrid &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostic Real Madrid &#8211; Partizan (EuroLeague, 8 octobre) : le 0-3 madril\u00e8ne n&#8217;a jou\u00e9 qu&#8217;\u00e0 l&#8217;ext\u00e9rieur. 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