{"id":5865,"date":"2026-10-07T20:35:44","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T18:35:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09\/"},"modified":"2026-10-09T23:14:08","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T21:14:08","slug":"lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-1\/lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09\/","title":{"rendered":"Lyon arrive invaincu \u00e0 Bollaert, et c&#8217;est Lens le favori"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le 15 septembre, Lens a \u00e9cart\u00e9 Dino Toppm\u00f6ller. Quatre journ\u00e9es de championnat, un Troph\u00e9e des Champions gagn\u00e9 contre le PSG en d\u00e9but de saison, et son adjoint Yannick Cahuzac propuls\u00e9 sur le banc. Vendredi, l&#8217;int\u00e9rimaire ouvre la sixi\u00e8me journ\u00e9e en recevant le deuxi\u00e8me du championnat : Lyon, invaincu, deux buts encaiss\u00e9s en cinq matchs. Sur le march\u00e9, c&#8217;est Lens le favori.<\/p>\n<h2>Quatre journ\u00e9es sans gagner, un banc \u00e0 recomposer<\/h2>\n<p>Lens est quinzi\u00e8me, quatre points, avec un nul et trois d\u00e9faites dans ses quatre derniers matchs de Ligue 1, et aucune cage inviol\u00e9e en match officiel cette saison. La tr\u00eave internationale a offert deux semaines de pause \u00e0 la crise : victoire amicale 2-0 contre le Standard de Li\u00e8ge, retours dans le groupe de Titraoui, Abdulhamid, Ch\u00e1vez et Baidoo, et Gradit, remis de sa fracture tibia-p\u00e9ron\u00e9, qui promet un match \u00ab gros, gros \u00bb. L&#8217;infirmerie garde tout de m\u00eame des noms lourds :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Abdallah Sima, revenu bless\u00e9 de s\u00e9lection (cuisse), est indisponible jusqu&#8217;\u00e0 fin novembre. En <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rclens.fr\/fr\/conference-de-presse-avant-rclens-lyon-ligue1-20261007\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">conf\u00e9rence de presse<\/a>, Cahuzac a parl\u00e9 de \u00ab gros point noir \u00bb.<\/li>\n<li>Maik Nawrocki, crois\u00e9 rompu le 29 ao\u00fbt, ne rejouera plus de la saison.<\/li>\n<li>Jean-Clair Todibo, en remise en forme, ne d\u00e9bute pas ; Amadou Ha\u00efdara, revenu mercredi, non plus.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>La composition officielle est tomb\u00e9e, toujours en 3-4-2-1 : Risser ; Gradit, Ganiou, Antonio ; Aguilar, Cuisance, Titraoui, Udol ; Thauvin, Sotoca ; \u00c9douard. Sotoca est pr\u00e9f\u00e9r\u00e9 \u00e0 Ivanovi\u0107 derri\u00e8re \u00c9douard, et Cuisance h\u00e9rite du milieu. Sans Sima, la finition repose surtout sur Thauvin, le meilleur atout offensif lensois.<\/p>\n<h2>La meilleure d\u00e9fense du championnat voyage fatigu\u00e9e et remani\u00e9e<\/h2>\n<p>Lyon n&#8217;a presque rien laiss\u00e9 passer depuis ao\u00fbt : deux buts encaiss\u00e9s, trois cages \u00e0 z\u00e9ro, aucune d\u00e9faite, onze points. Personne n&#8217;a encore marqu\u00e9 deux fois \u00e0 cette d\u00e9fense ; pour gagner ce match, Lens devrait \u00eatre le premier. Mais les Gones descendent dans l&#8217;Artois les jambes charg\u00e9es : Greif, Sulc et Athekame ne sont rentr\u00e9s de leurs s\u00e9lections que mardi soir, Openda n&#8217;a jou\u00e9 que trois minutes avec la Belgique, et la d\u00e9fense se recompose. Moussa Niakhat\u00e9, bless\u00e9 aux ischio-jambiers avec le S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lyonfoot.com\/article\/14393\/ol-moussa-niakhate-manquera-lens-et-reste-incertain-pour-crystal-palace\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">manque le d\u00e9placement<\/a> ; jeudi, Paulo Fonseca <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ol.fr\/fr\/actualites\/paulo-fonseca-avant-rc-lens-ol-la-treve-nous-a-permis-de-faire-un-bilan-sur-notre-debut-de-saison-et-avons-beaucoup-analyse-la-suite-des-echeances\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a confirm\u00e9<\/a> que Tagliafico, rentr\u00e9 d&#8217;Argentine avec une g\u00eane musculaire, et Mohamed Ou\u00e9draogo, revenu bless\u00e9 de s\u00e9lection, ne feront pas le voyage. Le reste du groupe va bien ; le doute qui entourait Boudache, touch\u00e9 par un virus, est lev\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Le onze officiel confirme l&#8217;axe que Fonseca avait en t\u00eate : Bacher et Kluivert d\u00e9butent. Greif ; Athekame, Bacher, Kluivert, Abner ; Bidstrup, Morton, Tolisso ; Sulc ; Nuamah, Openda. Nuamah, quatre buts d\u00e9j\u00e0, reste le danger principal, et Openda retrouve Bollaert, d&#8217;o\u00f9 il est pass\u00e9. Derri\u00e8re ce match attend Crystal Palace jeudi, dans une s\u00e9rie de six rencontres en vingt-trois jours.<\/p>\n<h2>Ce que disent les cinq derniers matchs<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u00c9quipe<\/th>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Adversaire<\/th>\n<th>Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Lens<\/td>\n<td>02\/10<\/td>\n<td>Standard de Li\u00e8ge<\/td>\n<td>Amical<\/td>\n<td>2-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lens<\/td>\n<td>18\/09<\/td>\n<td>Monaco<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lens<\/td>\n<td>13\/09<\/td>\n<td>Le Mans<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lens<\/td>\n<td>10\/09<\/td>\n<td>Slavia Prague<\/td>\n<td>Ligue des champions<\/td>\n<td>3-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lens<\/td>\n<td>05\/09<\/td>\n<td>Lorient<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>19\/09<\/td>\n<td>Rennes<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>4-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>16\/09<\/td>\n<td>Anderlecht<\/td>\n<td>Ligue Europa<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>12\/09<\/td>\n<td>Paris FC<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>0-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>04\/09<\/td>\n<td>Auxerre<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lyon<\/td>\n<td>29\/08<\/td>\n<td>Le Havre<\/td>\n<td>Ligue 1<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Les confrontations r\u00e9centes ne d\u00e9partagent personne : Lyon a gagn\u00e9 0-1 \u00e0 Bollaert en ao\u00fbt 2025, Lens a r\u00e9pondu 4-0 \u00e0 Lyon en mai. Vendredi, l&#8217;\u00e9quipe qui marque deux fois se donne de l&#8217;air ; celle qui n&#8217;en marque qu&#8217;une s&#8217;expose au nul.<\/p>\n<h2>Lyon ou nul \u00e0 1,587 : une unit\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>Le 1N2 affiche Lens \u00e0 2,53 et Lyon \u00e0 2,79 chez 1xbet ; depuis l&#8217;ouverture, ces prix ont \u00e0 peine boug\u00e9. Le march\u00e9 lit Bollaert et la fatigue lyonnaise ; je lui fais confiance sur la fatigue, pas sur la hi\u00e9rarchie. Je donne 68 % de chances \u00e0 Lyon d&#8217;\u00e9viter la d\u00e9faite ; \u00e0 1,587, la double chance Lyon ou nul n&#8217;est pay\u00e9e que pour 63 %. Les compositions sorties p\u00e8sent dans le sens du pari : l&#8217;axe lensois d\u00e9marre sans Todibo ni Ha\u00efdara, et Fonseca aligne d&#8217;entr\u00e9e Nuamah, Sulc et Openda.<\/p>\n<p>Je ne joue pas la victoire lyonnaise s\u00e8che : des absences en d\u00e9fense et des jambes charg\u00e9es, face \u00e0 des Lensois qui retrouvent des forces. Le nul convient aux deux calendriers, Lens recevant le Sporting mardi en Ligue des champions et Lyon filant \u00e0 Crystal Palace jeudi. Pour 100 $ mis\u00e9s, une unit\u00e9 : Lyon s&#8217;impose ou accroche le nul, le pari rapporte 58,70 $ nets ; Lens gagne, la mise est perdue.<\/p>\n<p>Chaque mise suit la m\u00eame <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">m\u00e9thode de calcul<\/a>, une probabilit\u00e9 contre une cote, jamais plus qu&#8217;une petite part de la bankroll. Ce pronostic rejoindra mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>, gagnant ou perdant. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>Deux passes de Thauvin, et le pari s&#8217;&#233;teint<\/h2>\n<p>Lens gagne 2-1, et l&#8217;invaincu lyonnais a craqu&#233; l&#224; o&#249; je le croyais le plus solide. Florian Thauvin, que je pointais comme l&#8217;atout lensois, a servi Sotoca &#224; la 36e minute pour l&#8217;ouverture du score, puis Udol &#224; la 76e pour le break. Deux buts encaiss&#233;s par la meilleure d&#233;fense du championnat, apr&#232;s deux en cinq journ&#233;es. Merah a r&#233;duit le score &#224; la 85e, trop tard pour le match et pour le pari.<\/p>\n<p>Ma double chance Lyon ou nul &#224; 1,587 chez 1xbet est perdue : -100,00 $, une unit&#233; pleine. Le march&#233; faisait de Lens le favori malgr&#233; le classement, il avait raison, et les compositions que je lisais dans le sens du pari ont tranch&#233; contre lui. J&#8217;avais identifi&#233; le danger Thauvin, je l&#8217;ai sous-pond&#233;r&#233; face &#224; une d&#233;fense priv&#233;e de Niakhat&#233; et Tagliafico : une charni&#232;re recompos&#233;e vaut ses absents, pas son classement.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lens bat Lyon 2-1, deux passes d&#233;cisives de Thauvin pour Sotoca et Udol : ma double chance Lyon ou nul chute, -100,00 $, une unit&#233;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":6674,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Lyon, deuxi\u00e8me et invaincu, n&#8217;est pas le favori du march\u00e9 \u00e0 Bollaert. Mon pronostic : double chance Lyon ou nul \u00e0 1,587, une unit\u00e9, et ma lecture du match.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Lens","ba_away_name":"Lyon","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-09 18:45:00","ba_venue":"Stade Bollaert-Delelis","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1552775","ba_featured":true,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"pgltfkqrtra","author_id":4,"market":"Double chance","selection":"Lyon ou nul","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"dc","selection_key":"x2","line":null,"odds":1.587,"stake_units":1,"stake_amount":100,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":58.7,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"lost","recorded_at":"2026-10-07 18:35:55","settled_at":"2026-10-09 20:45:04","probability":0.68,"p_market":0.6106,"p_used":0.6453,"edge":0.0241,"market_margin":0.059,"market_books":8,"closing_odds":1.538,"p_close":0.6301,"clv":-0,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,50],"class_list":["post-5865","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-ligue-1"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Lyon arrive invaincu \u00e0 Bollaert, et c&#8217;est Lens le favori &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Lyon, deuxi\u00e8me et invaincu, n&#8217;est pas le favori du march\u00e9 \u00e0 Bollaert. 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Mon pronostic : double chance Lyon ou nul \u00e0 1,587, une unit\u00e9, et ma lecture du match.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/ligue-1\/lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Bankroll Atlas\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-10-09T21:14:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/themes\/bankroll-atlas\/assets\/icons\/og-default.png\" \/><meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/carte-lens-lyon-fr-dee1e2c2.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"675\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/fr\\\/matchs\\\/football\\\/ligue-1\\\/lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/fr\\\/matchs\\\/football\\\/ligue-1\\\/lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Lucas Morel\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d9b64dcabe2a0b77c6f9299cba267225\"},\"headline\":\"Lyon arrive invaincu \u00e0 Bollaert, et c&#8217;est Lens le favori\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-07T18:35:44+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-10-09T21:14:08+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/fr\\\/matchs\\\/football\\\/ligue-1\\\/lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":977,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/fr\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/fr\\\/matchs\\\/football\\\/ligue-1\\\/lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/carte-lens-lyon-fr-dee1e2c2.webp\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/fr\\\/matchs\\\/football\\\/ligue-1\\\/lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/fr\\\/matchs\\\/football\\\/ligue-1\\\/lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09\\\/\",\"name\":\"Lyon arrive invaincu \u00e0 Bollaert, et c&#8217;est Lens le favori &#183; Bankroll Atlas\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/fr\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/fr\\\/matchs\\\/football\\\/ligue-1\\\/lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/fr\\\/matchs\\\/football\\\/ligue-1\\\/lens-lyon-pronostic-2026-10-09\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bankrollatlas.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/carte-lens-lyon-fr-dee1e2c2.webp\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-07T18:35:44+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-10-09T21:14:08+00:00\",\"description\":\"Lyon, deuxi\u00e8me et invaincu, n&#8217;est pas le favori du march\u00e9 \u00e0 Bollaert. 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