{"id":6249,"date":"2026-10-08T20:45:44","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T18:45:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/glasner-retrouve-selhurst-crystal-palace-na-jamais-battu-nottingham-forest\/"},"modified":"2026-10-11T18:15:57","modified_gmt":"2026-10-11T16:15:57","slug":"crystal-palace-nottingham-forest-pronostic-2026-10-11","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/premier-league\/crystal-palace-nottingham-forest-pronostic-2026-10-11\/","title":{"rendered":"Glasner retrouve Selhurst : Crystal Palace n&#8217;a jamais battu Nottingham Forest"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Oliver Glasner est de retour dimanche \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.premierleague.com\/en\/match\/2645249\/crystal-palace-vs-nottingham-forest\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Selhurst Park<\/a>. Il y a laiss\u00e9 une FA Cup, une Conference League et un Community Shield avant de partir pour Nottingham Forest cet \u00e9t\u00e9 ; Pierre Sage, pass\u00e9 par Lens, a pris sa succession. L&#8217;accueil sera chaleureux, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/sport\/football\/articles\/c5lye0emem9do\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">la BBC s&#8217;attend<\/a> \u00e0 celui d&#8217;un h\u00e9ros. La statistique qui attend Palace est plus froide : douze matches de Premier League entre les deux clubs, aucune victoire, huit nuls, quatre d\u00e9faites. Les trois derniers duels se sont tous finis sur le m\u00eame score, 1-1.<\/p>\n<h2>Douze duels, z\u00e9ro victoire, trois 1-1 d&#8217;affil\u00e9e<\/h2>\n<p>La s\u00e9rie d\u00e9crit une opposition qui refuse de se d\u00e9cider : vingt buts en douze confrontations, moins de deux par match, et <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestatszone.com\/crystal-palace-vs-nottingham-forest-preview-team-news-prediction-227761\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cinq des six derniers matches \u00e0 Selhurst termin\u00e9s nuls<\/a>. Palace n&#8217;a d&#8217;ailleurs plus gagn\u00e9 \u00e0 domicile en championnat depuis avril.<\/p>\n<p>Les cinq derni\u00e8res confrontations, toutes en Premier League :<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Match<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>01\/02\/2026<\/td>\n<td>Nottingham Forest &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>24\/08\/2025<\/td>\n<td>Crystal Palace &#8211; Nottingham Forest<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>05\/05\/2025<\/td>\n<td>Crystal Palace &#8211; Nottingham Forest<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>21\/10\/2024<\/td>\n<td>Nottingham Forest &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>1-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>30\/03\/2024<\/td>\n<td>Nottingham Forest &#8211; Crystal Palace<\/td>\n<td>1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Deux attaques en panne, deux infirmeries occup\u00e9es<\/h2>\n<p>Palace pointe au 15e rang avec quatre points, Forest au 13e avec cinq, et les deux attaques sont \u00e0 l&#8217;arr\u00eat : six buts de championnat pour Palace en cinq journ\u00e9es, quatre pour Forest. Vendredi, le club londonien a tranch\u00e9 : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpfc.co.uk\/news\/first-team\/team-news-sage-updates-on-mateta-and-khalaili-ahead-of-forest\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mateta, Henderson et Tomiyasu seront tous les trois absents dimanche<\/a>, retour vis\u00e9 le 18 octobre ; Disasi purge toujours sa suspension apr\u00e8s son rouge contre Ipswich, et Riad (genou) vise 2027. Deux retours quand m\u00eame : Khalaili, remis de sa blessure en s\u00e9lection avec Isra\u00ebl, d\u00e9bute, et <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/sport\/football\/articles\/cm93zq75nzd7o\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Isma\u00efla Sarr, huit minutes de jeu depuis ao\u00fbt, est apte sans d\u00e9buter<\/a>. La feuille officielle, elle, a tranch\u00e9 la charni\u00e8re : Richards, Lerma et Canvot, pas d&#8217;Ahanor, dans un 3-4-2-1 o\u00f9 Strand Larsen m\u00e8ne l&#8217;attaque.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00f4t\u00e9 Forest, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/sport\/football\/articles\/cm3vqpkyl7g3o\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Milenkovic manquera le match<\/a> : une contusion osseuse attrap\u00e9e sur une collision \u00e0 l&#8217;entra\u00eenement, et un d\u00e9fenseur qui ne peut pas s&#8217;entra\u00eener. Igor Jesus (mollet) sorti pour quelques semaines, Neco Williams, fi\u00e9vreux au retour de s\u00e9lection, d\u00e9bute malgr\u00e9 tout, et Savona, encore en convalescence apr\u00e8s son op\u00e9ration au genou, toujours \u00e9cart\u00e9.<\/p>\n<h2>Un march\u00e9 qui refuse de trancher<\/h2>\n<p>\u00c0 J-1, le 1N2 reste serr\u00e9 : 2,79 pour Palace, 3,49 pour le nul, 2,70 pour Forest chez 1xbet, avec un l\u00e9ger glissement vers Forest depuis mercredi. Sur les buts, le prix a boug\u00e9 : le moins de 2,5 est pass\u00e9 de 1,93 \u00e0 2,00, pendant que le plus revenait \u00e0 1,94. Une charni\u00e8re de Forest sans Milenkovic, des retours offensifs c\u00f4t\u00e9 Palace : les bookmakers voient le match un petit peu plus ouvert qu&#8217;en d\u00e9but de semaine.<\/p>\n<h2>Mon pari : deux buts ou moins, 0,5 unit\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>Mon pari, enregistr\u00e9 mercredi : le moins de 2,5 buts \u00e0 1,93 chez 1xbet. La cote a d\u00e9riv\u00e9 depuis, le pari reste celui-l\u00e0. \u00c0 1,93, le march\u00e9 accorde un petit peu plus d&#8217;une chance sur deux \u00e0 un match \u00e0 deux buts ou moins ; je le vois \u00e0 55 %. Ce qui me fait pencher : deux attaques qui marquent si peu, un Palace priv\u00e9 de Mateta jusqu&#8217;au 18 octobre, et une s\u00e9rie de duels coll\u00e9e au m\u00eame score. Ce qui me retient : Forest sans Milenkovic, et un march\u00e9 des buts qui attend toujours des deux c\u00f4t\u00e9s, les deux \u00e9quipes marquent \u00e0 1,70. Les compositions officielles, tomb\u00e9es ce dimanche, confortent cette lecture.<\/p>\n<p>L&#8217;\u00e9cart reste modeste et la mise le dit : 0,5 unit\u00e9, soit 50 $. Concr\u00e8tement : 0, 1 ou 2 buts, le pari gagne 46,45 $ ; trois buts ou plus, il perd 50 $. 18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre. La r\u00e8gle de mise se calcule avec le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> ; le pari partira au <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a> tel quel, gain ou perte.<\/p>\n<h2>Trois buts de Palace, une premi\u00e8re en treize duels<\/h2>\n<p>Score final : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.11v11.com\/matches\/crystal-palace-v-nottingham-forest-11-october-2026-395565\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Crystal Palace &#8211; Nottingham Forest 3-1<\/a>. Ndoye avait mis Forest devant \u00e0 la 3e, et la s\u00e9rie disait autre chose : douze duels de Premier League sans victoire de Palace, huit nuls, trois 1-1 d&#8217;affil\u00e9e. Kamada \u00e0 la 41e, Lerma \u00e0 la 45e+4 et Pino \u00e0 la 59e ont renvers\u00e9 le match de part et d&#8217;autre de la pause. C&#8217;est la premi\u00e8re victoire de Palace sur Forest en treize confrontations, et trois buts, la moiti\u00e9 de son total de championnat, en un seul apr\u00e8s-midi.<\/p>\n<p>Le pari est mort \u00e0 la 45e+4, sur le but de Lerma, le troisi\u00e8me du match : moins de 2,5 buts \u00e0 1,93 chez 1xbet, 0,5 unit\u00e9, 50 $ perdus. Le march\u00e9 m&#8217;avait pr\u00e9venu, le moins \u00e9tait mont\u00e9 de 1,93 \u00e0 2,00 en fin de semaine : il voyait le match s&#8217;ouvrir, avec les retours offensifs de Palace et une charni\u00e8re de Forest sans Milenkovic. Il s&#8217;est ouvert, quatre buts : mes deux attaques \u00e0 l&#8217;arr\u00eat se sont r\u00e9veill\u00e9es d&#8217;un coup, et celle de Palace en a marqu\u00e9 trois.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Palace s&#8217;impose 3-1, sa premi\u00e8re victoire en treize duels de Premier League contre Forest. Le moins de 2,5 buts meurt \u00e0 la 45e+4 avec le troisi\u00e8me but : 50 $ perdus.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":7398,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Crystal Palace \u2013 Nottingham Forest : le retour de Glasner \u00e0 Selhurst. Mon pronostic, moins de 2,5 buts \u00e0 1,93, la mise et le match analys\u00e9.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Crystal Palace","ba_away_name":"Nottingham Forest","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-11 13:00:00","ba_venue":"Selhurst Park","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557421","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"p8kpmvky2nc","author_id":4,"market":"Moins de buts","selection":"Moins de 2,5 buts","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"totals","selection_key":"under","line":2.5,"odds":1.929,"stake_units":0.5,"stake_amount":50,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":46.45,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"lost","recorded_at":"2026-10-08 18:46:19","settled_at":"2026-10-11 15:00:11","probability":0.55,"p_market":0.5027,"p_used":0.5264,"edge":0.0153,"market_margin":0.0641,"market_books":9,"closing_odds":1.98,"p_close":0.504,"clv":-0.0278,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,70],"class_list":["post-6249","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-premier-league"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Glasner retrouve Selhurst : Crystal Palace n&#8217;a jamais battu Nottingham Forest &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Crystal Palace \u2013 Nottingham Forest : le retour de Glasner \u00e0 Selhurst. 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