{"id":6729,"date":"2026-10-10T11:36:50","date_gmt":"2026-10-10T09:36:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/qui-va-marquer-pour-coventry-sans-awoniyi-ni-wright-lundi-soir-face-a-newcastle\/"},"modified":"2026-10-12T23:12:40","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T21:12:40","slug":"coventry-newcastle-pronostic-2026-10-12","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/premier-league\/coventry-newcastle-pronostic-2026-10-12\/","title":{"rendered":"Qui va marquer pour Coventry ? Sans Awoniyi ni Wright, lundi soir face \u00e0 Newcastle"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Un but en cinq matchs de Premier League : c&#8217;est avec ce bilan offensif que Coventry accueille Newcastle lundi soir, pour le premier match de l&#8217;\u00e9lite \u00e0 Coventry depuis janvier 2001. Frank Lampard a d\u00e9croch\u00e9 la premi\u00e8re victoire de sa saison juste avant la tr\u00eave, 1-0 \u00e0 Nottingham Forest le 19 septembre, et son \u00e9quipe n&#8217;a toujours pas marqu\u00e9 deux fois dans un m\u00eame match. Elle re\u00e7oit les Magpies sans Awoniyi, suspendu, ni Wright, touch\u00e9 \u00e0 la cuisse.<\/p>\n<h2>Sans point d&#8217;appui, le bloc de Lampard ne respire jamais<\/h2>\n<p>Coventry joue un football de bloc bas et le r\u00e9ussit par moments : la victoire \u00e0 Forest est sortie d&#8217;un match ferm\u00e9, tenu jusqu&#8217;au bout. Le probl\u00e8me se situe en haut du terrain. Sans attaquant capable de garder le ballon deux secondes, chaque d\u00e9gagement retombe aussit\u00f4t sur une d\u00e9fense sans r\u00e9pit, et l&#8217;\u00e9quipe qui court le moins du championnat finit par vivre dans sa moiti\u00e9 : un but marqu\u00e9, environ 39 % de possession et la deuxi\u00e8me plus faible distance parcourue de Premier League, selon <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/sport\/football\/articles\/cmwy4jlw0nz8o\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">l&#8217;analyse de la BBC<\/a> apr\u00e8s le succ\u00e8s de Forest. Le soir o\u00f9 le bloc a craqu\u00e9, Brighton est venu gagner 5-0 \u00e0 la Coventry Building Society Arena.<\/p>\n<p>L&#8217;infirmerie aggrave ce d\u00e9faut de pointeur (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.themag.co.uk\/2026\/10\/official-coventry-city-injury-update-ahead-of-newcastle-united-match\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">point de Coventry sur les bless\u00e9s<\/a>) :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Awoniyi purge le dernier des trois matchs de sa suspension et ne peut revenir avant Tottenham, le 19 octobre ;<\/li>\n<li>Wright, touch\u00e9 \u00e0 la cuisse, n&#8217;est pas attendu avant novembre ;<\/li>\n<li>Amenda, mollet, vise un retour vers No\u00ebl apr\u00e8s trois mois d&#8217;absence ;<\/li>\n<li>Eccles reste \u00e9cart\u00e9 \u00ab quelques semaines \u00bb ;<\/li>\n<li>Woolfenden, genou, esp\u00e8re la fin novembre au plus t\u00f4t.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Les compositions officielles ont tranch\u00e9 ce qui restait ouvert : van Ewijk est titulaire, Kesler-Hayden et Latibeaudiere ne sont pas dans le onze. En pointe du 4-2-3-1, Lampard aligne Cherif, avec Thomas-Asante, Rudoni et Mason-Clark derri\u00e8re lui.<\/p>\n<h2>Deux retours dans le onze de Jaissle, pas \u00ab trois ou quatre \u00bb<\/h2>\n<p>En face, Matthias Jaissle man\u0153uvre \u00e0 l&#8217;oppos\u00e9. Newcastle s&#8217;est d\u00e9plac\u00e9 \u00e0 Hull City avec neuf absents le 19 septembre, et son entra\u00eeneur avait annonc\u00e9 \u00ab trois ou quatre \u00bb retours pour Coventry dans son <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newcastleunited.com\/en\/news\/matthias-jaissles-team-news-update-warrior-joelinton-latest-ahead-of-coventry-trip\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">point d&#8217;avant-match<\/a>. Le onze officiel en donne deux : Nico Gonzalez, sorti du protocole commotion, et Miley ; Joelinton et Burn n&#8217;y figurent pas. Horn\u00ed\u010dek garde le but, Jaouen \u00e9tant <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/sport\/football\/articles\/ck87z8rx1dyro\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00e9cart\u00e9 deux mois<\/a> apr\u00e8s sa blessure aux ischio-jambiers contract\u00e9e en \u00e9quipe de France espoirs ; Livramento, que la presse locale donnait indisponible, n&#8217;y est pas non plus, et Elanga, que la presse n&#8217;attend pas avant la mi-octobre, manque encore.<\/p>\n<p>Le calendrier laisse peu de place \u00e0 la rotation : Aston Villa se pr\u00e9sente \u00e0 St James&#8217; Park cinq jours apr\u00e8s Coventry. Jaissle se m\u00e9fie du \u00ab momentum \u00bb du promu ; sans Joelinton, \u00ab le leader \u00bb de son vestiaire, le milieu des Magpies pressera moins, et c&#8217;est la seule br\u00e8che que Coventry peut esp\u00e9rer.<\/p>\n<h2>Deux formes qui ne racontent pas la m\u00eame histoire<\/h2>\n<p>Coventry pointe au 19e rang avec trois points et neuf buts de moins. Newcastle occupe la 11e place avec huit points et des r\u00e9sultats d&#8217;avant-tr\u00eave qui tiennent la comparaison : un 2-0 \u00e0 Tottenham, un nul contre Bournemouth, une d\u00e9faite 1-4 \u00e0 Leeds, puis le 2-1 contre Hull. Le match par match en dit plus que le classement :<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>\u00c9quipe<\/th>\n<th>Adversaire<\/th>\n<th>Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<th>Issue<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>19\/09<\/td>\n<td>Coventry<\/td>\n<td>Nottingham Forest (ext\u00e9rieur)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>1-0<\/td>\n<td>Victoire<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>16\/09<\/td>\n<td>Coventry<\/td>\n<td>Aston Villa (domicile)<\/td>\n<td>League Cup<\/td>\n<td>1-3<\/td>\n<td>D\u00e9faite<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>13\/09<\/td>\n<td>Coventry<\/td>\n<td>Brighton (domicile)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-5<\/td>\n<td>D\u00e9faite<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>05\/09<\/td>\n<td>Coventry<\/td>\n<td>Manchester City (ext\u00e9rieur)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<td>D\u00e9faite<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>29\/08<\/td>\n<td>Coventry<\/td>\n<td>Hull City (domicile)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<td>D\u00e9faite<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>19\/09<\/td>\n<td>Newcastle<\/td>\n<td>Hull City (domicile)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<td>Victoire<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>14\/09<\/td>\n<td>Newcastle<\/td>\n<td>Leeds (ext\u00e9rieur)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>1-4<\/td>\n<td>D\u00e9faite<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>08\/09<\/td>\n<td>Newcastle<\/td>\n<td>Millwall (ext\u00e9rieur)<\/td>\n<td>League Cup<\/td>\n<td>1-0<\/td>\n<td>Victoire<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>05\/09<\/td>\n<td>Newcastle<\/td>\n<td>Bournemouth (domicile)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-2<\/td>\n<td>Nul<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>29\/08<\/td>\n<td>Newcastle<\/td>\n<td>Tottenham (ext\u00e9rieur)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-0<\/td>\n<td>Victoire<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Newcastle \u00e0 2,21 : un petit \u00e9cart, une petite mise<\/h2>\n<p>Le mieux cot\u00e9 pour Newcastle est remont\u00e9 \u00e0 2,27 chez 1xbet dimanche, puis est redescendu \u00e0 2,09 ce lundi soir ; Coventry cote \u00e0 3,74 et le nul \u00e0 3,90. J&#8217;ai pris la victoire \u00e0 2,21 chez 10BET : \u00e0 ce prix, le march\u00e9 donne \u00e0 Newcastle un peu moins d&#8217;une chance sur deux de gagner dans le temps r\u00e9glementaire. Je donne 47 % l\u00e0 o\u00f9 le march\u00e9 en promet autour de 45 % : l&#8217;\u00e9cart est mince.<\/p>\n<p>Mon pari reste donc la victoire de Newcastle dans le temps r\u00e9glementaire, \u00e0 2,21 chez 10BET, et les compositions ne l&#8217;\u00e9branlent pas : Wissa, Barnes et Murphy d\u00e9butent, et l&#8217;avant de Coventry n&#8217;a pas gagn\u00e9 de renfort. Victoire des Magpies : 30,25 $ de gain. Nul ou succ\u00e8s de Coventry : 25 $ perdus. La mise calcul\u00e9e est la plus petite possible, 0,25 unit\u00e9 (25 $), et elle dit la v\u00e9rit\u00e9 de ce pronostic : le march\u00e9 a bien lu ce match, et deux points d&#8217;\u00e9cart ne se paient pas plus cher. Ce pari rejoint mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>, la mise suit la m\u00e9thode du <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a>. Pas de second pari : les march\u00e9s qui prot\u00e8gent du nul cotent la m\u00eame lecture moins cher. 18+ : ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>4-1 : Coventry r\u00e8gle la question du buteur en une soir\u00e9e<\/h2>\n<p>Rudoni sur penalty d\u00e8s la 6e minute, Cherif \u00e0 la 48e, puis Simms et Mfuni, chacun trois minutes apr\u00e8s son entr\u00e9e en jeu : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.footmercato.net\/live\/6715324857926949042-coventry-vs-newcastle\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Coventry a marqu\u00e9 quatre fois<\/a>, par quatre joueurs diff\u00e9rents, apr\u00e8s un seul but en cinq journ\u00e9es. C&#8217;est la premi\u00e8re victoire \u00e0 domicile de la saison pour Coventry, qui n&#8217;avait plus battu Newcastle sur son terrain depuis 1999. Le penalty de la 6e a \u00e9crit le sc\u00e9nario : en avance si t\u00f4t, le bloc de Lampard n&#8217;a plus eu \u00e0 s&#8217;exposer, et les 65 % de possession de Newcastle n&#8217;ont donn\u00e9 qu&#8217;un but, celui de Botman \u00e0 la 70e (2-1).<\/p>\n<p>Mon pari Newcastle \u00e0 2,21 chez 10BET tombe, et les 25 $ avec lui. Je lisais une attaque sans solutions : elle en a trouv\u00e9 quatre sans Awoniyi ni Wright, et le march\u00e9, descendu jusqu&#8217;\u00e0 2,09 au coup d&#8217;envoi, s&#8217;est tromp\u00e9 dans le m\u00eame sens que moi. La mise minimale, 0,25 unit\u00e9, a fait son office : peu mis\u00e9, peu perdu. Newcastle encaisse quatre buts \u00e0 l&#8217;ext\u00e9rieur pour la deuxi\u00e8me fois en moins d&#8217;un mois, apr\u00e8s le 1-4 de Leeds du 14 septembre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Coventry n&#8217;avait marqu\u00e9 qu&#8217;un but en cinq journ\u00e9es : il en a mis quatre \u00e0 Newcastle (4-1), sa premi\u00e8re victoire \u00e0 domicile de la saison. Mon pari Magpies \u00e0 2,21 chez 10BET tombe : 25 $ perdus, la mise minimale.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":7990,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Coventry - Newcastle : mon pronostic du lundi soir. Victoire de Newcastle \u00e0 2,21 chez 10BET, mise minimale face \u00e0 une attaque \u00e0 un but en cinq matchs.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Coventry","ba_away_name":"Newcastle","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-12 19:00:00","ba_venue":"Coventry Building Society Arena","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557420","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"pwjx26ilgut","author_id":4,"market":"Vainqueur (1N2)","selection":"Newcastle","bookmaker":"10BET","market_key":"ml","selection_key":"away","line":null,"odds":2.21,"stake_units":0.25,"stake_amount":25,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":30.25,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"lost","recorded_at":"2026-10-10 09:37:08","settled_at":"2026-10-12 21:00:11","probability":0.47,"p_market":0.4484,"p_used":0.4592,"edge":0.0148,"market_margin":0.0541,"market_books":7,"closing_odds":2.092,"p_close":0.4712,"clv":0.0414,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,70],"class_list":["post-6729","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-premier-league"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Qui va marquer pour Coventry ? 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