{"id":7697,"date":"2026-10-12T11:47:14","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T09:47:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/le-palau-a-perdu-vendredi-maccabi-a-enfin-gagne\/"},"modified":"2026-10-13T23:14:56","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T21:14:56","slug":"barcelona-maccabi-tel-aviv-pronostic-2026-10-13","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/basket\/euroleague\/barcelona-maccabi-tel-aviv-pronostic-2026-10-13\/","title":{"rendered":"Le Palau a perdu vendredi, Maccabi a enfin gagn\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Vendredi, Barcelone a perdu 81-88 chez lui contre Zalgiris. Dans la m\u00eame semaine, Maccabi Tel Aviv a d\u00e9croch\u00e9 sa premi\u00e8re victoire en EuroLeague, 97-79 contre Milan. Mardi soir au <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/euroleague\/game-center\/2026-27\/fc-barcelona-maccabi-rapyd-tel-aviv\/E2026\/44\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Palau Blaugrana<\/a>, le favori fatigu\u00e9 re\u00e7oit l\u2019\u00e9quipe qui se rel\u00e8ve : je prends Maccabi +7,5, mise minimale.<\/p>\n<h2>Deux victoires, deux d\u00e9faites et un calendrier qui charge<\/h2>\n<p>Le Bar\u00e7a alterne : victoire 95-82 \u00e0 Besiktas \u00e0 la journ\u00e9e 3, d\u00e9faite au Palau \u00e0 la journ\u00e9e 4. Kevin Punter, co-meilleur marqueur de la ligue \u00e0 20,0 points par match, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/euroleague\/news\/tae2627-rs4-game-facts-bar-zal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">vient de onze matches d\u2019affil\u00e9e<\/a> avec au moins un trois-points.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th><\/th>\n<th>Barcelone<\/th>\n<th>Maccabi Tel Aviv<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Bilan EuroLeague<\/td>\n<td>2 victoires, 2 d\u00e9faites<\/td>\n<td>1 victoire, 3 d\u00e9faites<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Dernier match<\/td>\n<td>d\u00e9faite 81-88 contre Zalgiris<\/td>\n<td>victoire 97-79 contre Milan<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Entra\u00eeneur<\/td>\n<td>Aleksander Sekulic<\/td>\n<td>Oded Kattash<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Cinq derni\u00e8res confrontations<\/td>\n<td>5 victoires<\/td>\n<td>0 victoire<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Le calendrier p\u00e8se plus que l\u2019effectif : quatre matches en huit jours, tous au Palau, Zalgiris vendredi, Valence dimanche, Maccabi mardi, l\u2019Olympiakos vendredi prochain. Valence n\u2019a \u00e9t\u00e9 battue que de trois points, 89-86, avec Josh Nebo \u00e0 17 points et Tosan Evbuomwan \u00e0 13, tous deux de retour dans la rotation. Le quatri\u00e8me quart-temps de vendredi, perdu 16-33, a montr\u00e9 ce que la fatigue fait \u00e0 cette \u00e9quipe.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Justin Minaya (adducteur droit) : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/injury-report-round-5-el2627\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">forfait mardi<\/a>, confirm\u00e9 par le rapport m\u00e9dical officiel, retour annonc\u00e9 entre une et deux semaines ;<\/li>\n<li>Yoan Makoundou (genou gauche) : forfait lui aussi, absent depuis le 11 septembre ;<\/li>\n<li>Abdu Kone : incertain pour mardi ;<\/li>\n<li>John DiBartolomeo : toujours incertain, il a disput\u00e9 le championnat isra\u00e9lien samedi, sans statut officiel depuis ;<\/li>\n<li>Jimmy Clark III (cuisse) : revenu c\u00f4t\u00e9 Maccabi, d\u00e9cisif contre Milan.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Maccabi sort de sa premi\u00e8re victoire<\/h2>\n<p>Trois d\u00e9faites pour commencer, puis un d\u00e9clic : 97-79 contre Milan \u00e0 Belgrade jeudi, avec Yam Madar \u00e9lu MVP \u00e0 17 points et des pertes de balle r\u00e9duites de moiti\u00e9, apr\u00e8s en <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/euroleague\/news\/maccabi-masters-milan-for-maiden-win\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">co\u00fbter 16 par match<\/a>. Samedi, l\u2019ouverture du championnat isra\u00e9lien a prolong\u00e9 la vague : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/israel-news\/sports\/article-911354\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">120-93 contre Hapoel Galil Elyon<\/a>. Theis, Sorkin, Hoard, Colson, Bacot : le cinq int\u00e9rieur est garni, et Oded Kattash ajuste encore sa rotation.<\/p>\n<h2>\u00c0 1,40, le vainqueur ne nourrit personne<\/h2>\n<p>Le vainqueur sec ne rapporte rien : toujours 1,40 chez BetMGM, soit Barcelone \u00e0 sept chances sur dix pour le march\u00e9, pendant que Maccabi se raccourcit \u00e0 3,40 chez Bet365. Sur le handicap, la ligne principale a recul\u00e9 de Barcelone -7,5 \u00e0 -7 : le march\u00e9 attend une marge plus courte. Maccabi +7,5 se paie toujours 1,85 chez Betano, un prix relev\u00e9 le 3 octobre et non rafra\u00eechi depuis : ma ligne vaut mieux que la ligne principale du moment. Le total, lui, file vers le haut : 176 points en ligne principale, et le plus continue de raccourcir, \u00e0 1,86 sur la ligne 175,5 lundi. Le march\u00e9 voit un Bar\u00e7a gagnant mais serr\u00e9, et il a sans doute raison.<\/p>\n<h2>Maccabi +7,5, mise minimale<\/h2>\n<p>Je donne 56 % \u00e0 Maccabi +7,5 ; le march\u00e9 en donne 51,9 %. Une fois m\u00eal\u00e9e \u00e0 celle du march\u00e9, ma lecture ne garde pas d\u2019avantage : la mise est minimale, 0,25 unit\u00e9, soit 25 $, pour 21,25 $ de b\u00e9n\u00e9fice si Maccabi gagne ou perd de sept points au plus, prolongations comprises. Pas de valeur nette ici, seulement une lecture : Barcelone gagne, mais fatigu\u00e9, et le +7,5 tient si le Palau g\u00e8re ses jambes. Ce qui me ferait perdre : Punter en feu d\u00e8s le d\u00e9but, et un match pli\u00e9 \u00e0 la mi-temps. Pour ajuster une mise \u00e0 une conviction, le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a> fait le calcul ; mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a> garde les traces. 18+, misez uniquement ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<h2>Barcelone gagne, Maccabi m\u00e8ne \u00e0 la pause : le sc\u00e9nario \u00e9crit<\/h2>\n<p>Barcelone l&#8217;emporte 90-87, apr\u00e8s avoir \u00e9t\u00e9 men\u00e9 40-42 \u00e0 la mi-temps. Kevin Punter a fini \u00e0 19 points, sous sa moyenne de 20, et Yam Madar, MVP jeudi contre Milan, en a mis 22 (<a href=\"https:\/\/globalsportsarchive.com\/match\/basketball\/2026-10-13\/fc-barcelona-vs-maccabi-playtika-tel-aviv\/4435655\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">la feuille de stats du match<\/a>). Le Palau n&#8217;a bascul\u00e9 du bon c\u00f4t\u00e9 qu&#8217;au sortir d&#8217;un troisi\u00e8me quart-temps gagn\u00e9 27-22.<\/p>\n<p>Il fallait perdre de huit pour faire perdre ce pari : Maccabi a perdu de trois, et aucun quart-temps ne s&#8217;est termin\u00e9 \u00e0 plus de cinq points d&#8217;\u00e9cart. Maccabi +7,5 \u00e0 1,85 chez Betano, mise minimale, +21,25 $ nets. Le sc\u00e9nario que je redoutais, un Bar\u00e7a pli\u00e9 d\u00e8s la mi-temps apr\u00e8s quatre matches en huit jours, ne s&#8217;est pas approch\u00e9 : l&#8217;\u00e9quipe fatigu\u00e9e a gagn\u00e9 fatigu\u00e9e.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Barcelone gagne 90-87 apr\u00e8s avoir \u00e9t\u00e9 men\u00e9 40-42 \u00e0 la mi-temps : mon Maccabi +7,5 n&#8217;a jamais \u00e9t\u00e9 en danger, +21,25 $ nets sur la mise minimale. Madar 22 points, Punter 19.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":8282,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Barcelone encha\u00eene quatre matches en huit jours et Maccabi sort de sa premi\u00e8re victoire : mon pronostic Maccabi +7,5 \u00e0 1,85 chez Betano, mise minimale.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Barcelone","ba_away_name":"Maccabi Tel Aviv","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-13 18:30:00","ba_venue":"Palau Blaugrana","ba_match_key":"api-sports:basketball:508624","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[24,95],"class_list":["post-7697","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-basket","ba_sport-euroleague"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Le Palau a perdu vendredi, Maccabi a enfin gagn\u00e9 &#183; 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