{"id":8783,"date":"2026-10-15T11:45:31","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T09:45:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-le-5-0-grec-face-au-retour-ditoudis\/"},"modified":"2026-10-16T23:13:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-16T21:13:15","slug":"panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-pronostic-2026-10-16","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/basket\/euroleague\/panathinaikos-hapoel-tel-aviv-pronostic-2026-10-16\/","title":{"rendered":"Panathinaikos &#8211; Hapoel Tel Aviv : le 5-0 grec face au retour d&#8217;Itoudis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le Panathinaikos est seul en t\u00eate de l&#8217;EuroLeague, cinq victoires en cinq matchs, et le club a lanc\u00e9 un appel \u00e0 remplir la Telekom Center pour le 6\/6. En face arrive Dimitris Itoudis : treize ans adjoint de \u017deljko Obradovi\u0107 sur ce banc (1998-2012), cinq titres EuroLeague \u00e0 la main. Et son \u00e9quipe vient de mettre 100 points \u00e0 Besiktas.<\/p>\n<h2>Ath\u00e8nes invaincu, mais all\u00e9g\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>Le PAO a referm\u00e9 la double semaine lundi par un 72-55 \u00e0 Belgrade contre le Partizan. Mathias Lessort tourne \u00e0 21,2 d&#8217;\u00e9valuation, l&#8217;\u00e9quipe \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/game-center\/2026-27\/panathinaikos-aktor-athens-hapoel-ibi-tel-aviv\/E2026\/60\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">89,4 points marqu\u00e9s<\/a>. La presse grecque c\u00e9l\u00e8bre le 5-0 et discute d\u00e9j\u00e0 le jeu derri\u00e8re. L&#8217;infirmerie, elle, bouge des deux c\u00f4t\u00e9s :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Nikos Rogkavopoulos (\u00e9longation du muscle arri\u00e8re de la cuisse gauche, ressentie contre le Partizan) : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.onsports.gr\/basket\/euroleague\/story\/875249\/panathinaikos-neo-pligma-me-rogkavopoulo-xanei-ti-xapoel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">forfait act\u00e9 par le club<\/a>, \u00e9tat en am\u00e9lioration, pas de retour vis\u00e9 ;<\/li>\n<li>Kendrick Nunn et Kostas Sloukas : z\u00e9ro minute cette saison, statut non confirm\u00e9 pour vendredi ;<\/li>\n<li>Bar Timor (maladie), Tomer Ginat (genou), Tyler Ennis (tendon d&#8217;Achille) et Tamir Blatt (\u00e9cart\u00e9 du groupe) : <a href=\"https:\/\/basketballsphere.com\/en\/injuries\/euroleague\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">absents c\u00f4t\u00e9 Hapoel<\/a> ;<\/li>\n<li>Edwin Jackson : incertain, sur un seul suivi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/injury-report-round-6-el2627\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Le rapport m\u00e9dical du PAO<\/a> n&#8217;\u00e9tait d&#8217;ailleurs toujours pas transmis \u00e0 la veille du match. Juancho Hernang\u00f3mez, lui, est revenu dans la rotation lundi.<\/p>\n<h2>Cent points mercredi, les jambes vendredi<\/h2>\n<p>Hapoel pointe sixi\u00e8me, trois victoires et deux d\u00e9faites, avec <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euroleaguebasketball.net\/en\/euroleague\/news\/bryant-blakeney-boost-hapoel-past-besiktas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">100-82 sur Besiktas mercredi<\/a> : cinq joueurs \u00e0 quinze points ou plus (Micic, Bryant, Coffey, LeDay, Blakeney), 11\/20 \u00e0 trois points, et Elijah Bryant, MVP de la semaine pour la deuxi\u00e8me fois d&#8217;affil\u00e9e, \u00e0 24,4 d&#8217;\u00e9valuation. La rotation a \u00e9t\u00e9 coup\u00e9e d\u00e8s le quatri\u00e8me quart-temps, l&#8217;\u0153il d\u00e9j\u00e0 mis sur Ath\u00e8nes. La seule vraie d\u00e9faite de la saison remonte au 82-93 de Valence.<\/p>\n<p>Le b\u00e9mol est physique : trois matchs en six jours, ligue dimanche, Sofia mercredi, Ath\u00e8nes vendredi. Itoudis a fix\u00e9 le programme en conf\u00e9rence d&#8217;avant-match : \u00ab il faudra encaisser la physicalit\u00e9, contr\u00f4ler le ballon, prendre de bons tirs et gagner la bataille du rebond. \u00bb Zach LeDay y va de la m\u00eame prudence : l&#8217;un des matchs les plus durs que la ligue propose.<\/p>\n<h2>Le prix a d\u00e9j\u00e0 choisi son camp<\/h2>\n<p>Le vainqueur est vendu d&#8217;avance : Panathinaikos \u00e0 1,31, ouvert \u00e0 1,38 ; Hapoel \u00e0 4,00. La ligne principale est \u00e0 -8, le total \u00e0 169,5. \u00c0 ce niveau de prix, le vainqueur sec n&#8217;offre plus rien : tout le match se joue sur la marge.<\/p>\n<h2>Mon pari : Hapoel Tel Aviv +8,5<\/h2>\n<p>Je prends Hapoel +8,5 \u00e0 1,90 chez BetMGM, cote relev\u00e9e ce jeudi. Le march\u00e9 donne ce pari pile \u00e0 50 % ; je le donne \u00e0 56 %. L&#8217;\u00e9cart est net, mais il reste fin : 0,25 unit\u00e9, 25 $ (18+, ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre). Pour recalculer une mise depuis une probabilit\u00e9 et un prix, le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de mise<\/a> le fait en direct.<\/p>\n<p>Les issues, au franc : Hapoel gagne ou perd de huit points au plus, le pari est gagn\u00e9 (+22,5 $) ; il perd de neuf points ou plus, le pari est perdu (-25 $). Prolongations comprises.<\/p>\n<p>Pourquoi le +8,5 plut\u00f4t que la ligne principale \u00e0 8 : un demi-point de plus, pour trois centimes de moins (1,90 contre 1,93). Un match qui se resserre dans les derni\u00e8res minutes se joue souvent sur un \u00e9cart de huit, pile le point de bascule. Ce qui me fait y croire : une attaque \u00e0 cinq options en pleine confiance, un Panathinaikos qui tourne d\u00e9j\u00e0 en rotation amput\u00e9e, et un Itoudis qui conna\u00eet cette salle mieux que personne. Ce qui peut faire \u00e9chouer le pari : la foule du 6\/6, Lessort dans la raquette, des jambes charg\u00e9es par la semaine. La mise est \u00e0 la taille de ce doute. Le r\u00e9sultat ira sur mon <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Hapoel gagne \u00e0 Ath\u00e8nes, le 5-0 est tomb\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>Le Hapoel Tel Aviv s&#8217;est impos\u00e9 91-81 \u00e0 la Telekom Center, premi\u00e8re d\u00e9faite de la saison du Panathinaikos. Le retour d&#8217;Itoudis sur le banc d&#8217;en face s&#8217;est jou\u00e9 jusqu&#8217;au bout : les 22 points de Francisco n&#8217;ont pas suffi, Bryant et LeDay ont frapp\u00e9 dans les trois derni\u00e8res minutes, et l&#8217;invincibilit\u00e9 grecque s&#8217;est arr\u00eat\u00e9e l\u00e0.<\/p>\n<p>Le pari a gagn\u00e9 sans servir : quand l&#8217;outsider gagne le match, les huit points et demi ne comptent plus. Hapoel +8,5 \u00e0 1,90 chez BetMGM rapporte 22,5 $ sur les 25 $ mis\u00e9s. Mon 56 % contre les 50 % du march\u00e9 tenait, gain port\u00e9 au bilan.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le Hapoel Tel Aviv a battu le Panathinaikos 91-81 \u00e0 Ath\u00e8nes : premi\u00e8re d\u00e9faite de la saison des Grecs. Mon Hapoel +8,5 \u00e0 1,90 est gagn\u00e9, +22,5 $.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":9416,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Panathinaikos, seul leader invaincu, re\u00e7oit un Hapoel en forme ; le retour de Dimitris Itoudis anime la soir\u00e9e. Pronostic : Hapoel +8,5 \u00e0 1,90.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Panathinaikos","ba_away_name":"Hapoel Tel Aviv","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-16 18:15:00","ba_venue":"Telekom Center Athens","ba_match_key":"api-sports:basketball:508639","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[24,95],"class_list":["post-8783","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-basket","ba_sport-euroleague"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Panathinaikos &#8211; Hapoel Tel Aviv : le 5-0 grec face au retour d&#8217;Itoudis &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Panathinaikos, seul leader invaincu, re\u00e7oit un Hapoel en forme ; le retour de Dimitris Itoudis anime la soir\u00e9e. 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