{"id":9808,"date":"2026-10-17T20:38:05","date_gmt":"2026-10-17T18:38:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/bournemouth-sunderland-gagnants-en-europe-coinces-en-championnat\/"},"modified":"2026-10-18T17:14:38","modified_gmt":"2026-10-18T15:14:38","slug":"bournemouth-sunderland-pronostic-2026-10-18","status":"publish","type":"ba_match","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/matchs\/football\/premier-league\/bournemouth-sunderland-pronostic-2026-10-18\/","title":{"rendered":"Bournemouth &#8211; Sunderland : gagnants en Europe, coinc\u00e9s en championnat"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Jeudi soir, Bournemouth a v\u00e9cu sa premi\u00e8re soir\u00e9e europ\u00e9enne \u00e0 domicile : 3-0 contre Sturm Graz. Le m\u00eame soir, Sunderland gagnait 2-1 \u00e0 Torreense, au Portugal, sur un but de Sadiki dans le temps additionnel. Dimanche, ces deux-l\u00e0 se retrouvent \u00e0 la Vitality : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.premierleague.com\/en\/tables\/premier-league\/2026-27\/all-matchweeks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">trois points contre quatre<\/a>, Bournemouth dans la zone de rel\u00e9gation, Sunderland juste au-dessus. L&#8217;Europe leur a souri ; le championnat, pas encore.<\/p>\n<p>Bournemouth est la premi\u00e8re \u00e9quipe anglaise \u00e0 gagner ses deux premiers matchs d&#8217;une grande comp\u00e9tition europ\u00e9enne depuis Bolton en 2005-06. Marco Rose avait r\u00e9clam\u00e9 une r\u00e9action apr\u00e8s le 5-1 encaiss\u00e9 \u00e0 Chelsea ; le 3-0 face \u00e0 Sturm Graz l&#8217;a fournie, mais dans une autre comp\u00e9tition, avec un effectif tourn\u00e9, et Tyler Adams veut maintenant transf\u00e9rer cet \u00e9lan europ\u00e9en sur la Premier League. Entre les deux matchs, trois jours : les jambes de jeudi rejouent dimanche, et le classement, lui, ne se souvient pas de l&#8217;Europe.<\/p>\n<h2>Huit nuls sur dix \u00e0 la Vitality<\/h2>\n<p>Bournemouth n&#8217;a pas gagn\u00e9 un match de championnat cette saison : z\u00e9ro victoire, trois nuls, trois d\u00e9faites, sept buts marqu\u00e9s, treize encaiss\u00e9s. Une d\u00e9faite de plus serait la troisi\u00e8me d&#8217;affil\u00e9e dans l&#8217;\u00e9lite, ce qui ne lui \u00e9tait plus arriv\u00e9 depuis mai 2024. \u00c0 domicile, la Vitality transforme presque tout en \u00e9galit\u00e9 : huit des dix derniers matchs de championnat du club \u00e0 la maison se sont termin\u00e9s sur un nul, dont le 1-1 contre Sunderland en f\u00e9vrier dernier. Les deux \u00e9quipes ont marqu\u00e9 dans cinq de ses six matchs de championnat. Ces chiffres dessinent un match avec des buts et sans vainqueur.<\/p>\n<p>Les cinq derniers matchs des deux \u00e9quipes racontent la m\u00eame coupure : victoires en Europa League, r\u00e9sultats amers en championnat.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Adversaire<\/th>\n<th>Comp\u00e9tition<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>15 oct.<\/td>\n<td>Sturm Graz (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>Ligue Europa<\/td>\n<td>3-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10 oct.<\/td>\n<td>Chelsea (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>1-5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20 sept.<\/td>\n<td>Liverpool (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>17 sept.<\/td>\n<td>Real Sociedad (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>Ligue Europa<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>12 sept.<\/td>\n<td>Brentford (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>15 oct.<\/td>\n<td>Torreense (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>Ligue Europa<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10 oct.<\/td>\n<td>Brighton (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20 sept.<\/td>\n<td>Manchester City (ext.)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>3-5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>16 sept.<\/td>\n<td>AZ Alkmaar (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>Ligue Europa<\/td>\n<td>1-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>12 sept.<\/td>\n<td>Arsenal (dom.)<\/td>\n<td>Premier League<\/td>\n<td>0-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Scott incertain, Brobbey pressenti pour d\u00e9buter<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Alex Scott (cuisse) : l&#8217;IRM du 15 octobre est \u00ab mieux que pr\u00e9vue \u00bb et Rose l&#8217;a laiss\u00e9 possible ; la presse anglaise l&#8217;\u00e9crit pourtant hors coup dimanche. La d\u00e9cision se prendra au jour du match.<\/li>\n<li>Kroupi (pied) et Araujo (cuisse) manquent dimanche, et aucun des deux n&#8217;est attendu avant novembre. Milosavljevic (quadriceps) remonte ; une premi\u00e8re convocation est possible, sans garantie.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsmole.co.uk\/football\/bournemouth\/preview\/bournemouth-vs-sunderland-prediction-team-news-lineups_607069.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">La composition probable du samedi c\u00f4t\u00e9 Bournemouth<\/a> aligne Adams et Christie au milieu, Evanilson en pointe, Gannon-Doak en course pour sa premi\u00e8re titularisation de la saison en championnat ; Kluivert et Adli, r\u00e9int\u00e9gr\u00e9s au groupe le 15 octobre, n&#8217;y figurent que sur le banc.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.football365.com\/match-preview\/bournemouth-v-sunderland-prediction-preview\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sunderland reste all\u00e9g\u00e9 pour le d\u00e9placement<\/a> : Ballard (cuisse) absent \u00ab jusqu&#8217;apr\u00e8s la tr\u00eave de novembre \u00bb, Meunier (cuisse) et Mundle (genou, op\u00e9r\u00e9) forfaits. Isidor, touch\u00e9 contre Brighton, attend un appel tardif.<\/li>\n<li>Brobbey, meilleur buteur du club avec trois buts, et Diarra sont rentr\u00e9s dans le groupe \u00e0 Torreense sans jouer ; les deux devraient avoir des minutes, Brobbey pouvant d\u00e9buter, avec les rappels de Xhaka, Le Fee, Mukiele, Danso et Reinildo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Le Bris, en conf\u00e9rence, a rappel\u00e9 les valeurs du club, \u00ab la r\u00e9silience, la constance et le travail \u00bb, et que \u00ab le progr\u00e8s n&#8217;est jamais une ligne droite \u00bb. Il assume ses <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/sport\/football\/articles\/cr1ex6q1188no\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">quatre points sur dix-huit possibles<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Ces deux infirmeries ne p\u00e8sent pas pareil : Bournemouth r\u00e9cup\u00e8re des attaquants, Sunderland g\u00e8re trois forfaits. Sur un match serr\u00e9, cela penche vers le nul plut\u00f4t que vers une victoire \u00e0 domicile.<\/p>\n<h2>Sunderland ou le nul, le pari du match<\/h2>\n<p>Le march\u00e9 reste prudent sur Bournemouth : 2,16 chez 10BET ce samedi, apr\u00e8s une ouverture \u00e0 2,08. La victoire de Sunderland est pass\u00e9e de 3,85 \u00e0 3,63, et le X2 s&#8217;est resserr\u00e9 de 1,86 \u00e0 1,78 : le march\u00e9 s&#8217;est rapproch\u00e9 de ma lecture sans la rejoindre. Je compte 59 % pour l&#8217;ensemble nul ou Sunderland, quand la cote en promet un peu plus de 55.<\/p>\n<p>J&#8217;ai pris la double chance X2 \u00e0 1,78 chez 1xbet samedi ; le ticket est \u00e0 ce prix et n&#8217;en bouge plus. Pourquoi ce march\u00e9 plut\u00f4t que la victoire de Sunderland \u00e0 3,63 : le nul est la deuxi\u00e8me issue la plus probable de mon comptage, et le X2 la couvre. Prendre Sunderland sec, c&#8217;est trancher un match que tout resserre.<\/p>\n<p>La mise : une demi-unit\u00e9, 50 $. L&#8217;\u00e9cart avec le march\u00e9 est r\u00e9el mais petit, la conviction reste mesur\u00e9e ; la logique des mises en unit\u00e9s est dans le <a href=\"\/fr\/outils\/calculateur-kelly\/\">calculateur de Kelly<\/a>. Si Sunderland gagne ou si le match finit sur un nul, le pari rapporte 39,05 $ nets ; si Bournemouth d\u00e9croche sa premi\u00e8re victoire de la saison, il co\u00fbte 50 $. Pari r\u00e9gl\u00e9 sur le temps r\u00e9glementaire. 18+ : ne misez que ce que vous pouvez perdre.<\/p>\n<p>Comme tous les paris que nous publions, celui-ci entre au <a href=\"\/fr\/bilan\/\">bilan public<\/a> et n&#8217;en bougera plus. Je m&#8217;attends \u00e0 un match ouvert et serr\u00e9 ; mon pari survit \u00e0 tout, sauf \u00e0 la premi\u00e8re victoire de Bournemouth.<\/p>\n<h2>Premi\u00e8re victoire de Bournemouth, le X2 n&#8217;y survit pas<\/h2>\n<p>Bournemouth a gagn\u00e9 2-0, sa premi\u00e8re victoire de la saison en championnat, exactement ce que mon ticket ne supportait pas. Tavernier a ouvert d&#8217;une t\u00eate sur un centre d&#8217;Evanilson (6e), Danso a pris le rouge \u00e0 la 17e, et Evanilson a tu\u00e9 le doute au retour des vestiaires (48e). Le r\u00e9cit du match est chez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skysports.com\/football\/bmouth-vs-sunderland\/live\/559504\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sky Sports<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Je comptais 59 % pour l&#8217;ensemble nul ou Sunderland, sur la pente des nuls \u00e0 la Vitality. Bournemouth a men\u00e9 d\u00e8s la sixi\u00e8me minute, et le rouge de Danso a enlev\u00e9 au match son dernier suspens : \u00e0 dix, Sunderland n&#8217;a gagn\u00e9 son premier corner qu&#8217;\u00e0 la 44e, et le nul ne s&#8217;est jamais approch\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Le pari est perdu : double chance nul ou Sunderland (X2) \u00e0 1,78 chez 1xbet. Perte de 50 $, la demi-unit\u00e9, port\u00e9e au bilan public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bournemouth d\u00e9croche sa premi\u00e8re victoire en championnat (2-0) : mon nul ou Sunderland \u00e0 1,78 chez 1xbet est perdu, 50 $ port\u00e9s au bilan public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":9932,"template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bournemouth, trois points, re\u00e7oit Sunderland, quatre. Mon pronostic : le nul ou Sunderland, double chance X2 \u00e0 1,78 chez 1xbet, 50 $ de mise.","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","ba_home_name":"Bournemouth","ba_away_name":"Sunderland","ba_kickoff_utc":"2026-10-18 13:00:00","ba_venue":"Vitality Stadium","ba_match_key":"api-sports:football:1557427","ba_featured":false,"ba_admin_touch":"","ba_picks":[{"id":"ph0kvbun6jc","author_id":4,"market":"Double chance","selection":"Sunderland ou nul (X2)","bookmaker":"1xbet","market_key":"dc","selection_key":"x2","line":null,"odds":1.781,"stake_units":0.5,"stake_amount":50,"stake_amount_forced":false,"potential_gain":39.05,"potential_gain_forced":false,"status":"lost","recorded_at":"2026-10-17 18:38:26","settled_at":"2026-10-18 15:00:07","probability":0.59,"p_market":0.5504,"p_used":0.5702,"edge":0.0155,"market_margin":0.0491,"market_books":7,"closing_odds":1.815,"p_close":0.5331,"clv":-0.0505,"stake_rule":"kelly"}],"footnotes":""},"ba_sport":[19,70],"class_list":["post-9808","ba_match","type-ba_match","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ba_sport-football","ba_sport-premier-league"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bournemouth &#8211; Sunderland : gagnants en Europe, coinc\u00e9s en championnat &#183; Bankroll Atlas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bournemouth, trois points, re\u00e7oit Sunderland, quatre. 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