{"id":351,"date":"2026-09-26T14:27:53","date_gmt":"2026-09-26T12:27:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/fr\/outils\/calcolatore-margine\/"},"modified":"2026-09-26T14:46:02","modified_gmt":"2026-09-26T12:46:02","slug":"calcolatore-margine","status":"publish","type":"ba_tool","link":"https:\/\/bankrollatlas.com\/it\/strumenti\/calcolatore-margine\/","title":{"rendered":"Calcolatore di margine e probabilit\u00e0 implicita"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A cosa serve questo calcolatore<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Una quota decimale \u00e8 un prezzo. Il suo inverso d\u00e0 la probabilit\u00e0 che il bookmaker attribuisce all\u2019esito. Somma queste probabilit\u00e0 su tutti gli esiti di un mercato e il totale supera il 100%. Quell\u2019eccedenza \u00e8 il margine, il prezzo che paghi per scommettere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il calcolatore fa il conto per te, toglie il margine e d\u00e0 la <em>quota equa<\/em> di ogni esito, quella che vedresti senza commissione.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Come usarlo<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list ba-steps\">\n<li><strong>Scegli il formato.<\/strong> Decimale (1,90), frazionario (10\/11) o americano (\u2212110).<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>Inserisci tutti gli esiti.<\/strong> Due quote per un mercato senza pareggio (tennis, over\/under), tre per un 1X2.<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>Leggi il risultato.<\/strong> Il margine appare in alto, poi la probabilit\u00e0 implicita, la probabilit\u00e0 senza margine e la quota equa di ogni esito.<\/li>\n\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">La formula<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Probabilit\u00e0 implicita = 1 \/ quota.<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Margine = somma delle probabilit\u00e0 implicite \u2212 100%.<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Probabilit\u00e0 senza margine = probabilit\u00e0 implicita \/ somma delle probabilit\u00e0.<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Quota equa = 1 \/ probabilit\u00e0 senza margine.<\/li>\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Esempio numerico<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Una partita di tennis \u00e8 quotata 1,90 per ciascun giocatore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th>Giocatore<\/th><th>Quota<\/th><th>Probabilit\u00e0 implicita<\/th><th>Senza margine<\/th><th>Quota equa<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Giocatore 1<\/td><td>1,90<\/td><td>52,63%<\/td><td>50%<\/td><td>2,00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Giocatore 2<\/td><td>1,90<\/td><td>52,63%<\/td><td>50%<\/td><td>2,00<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La somma \u00e8 105,26%, cio\u00e8 un margine del 5,26%. Senza commissione, ogni giocatore sarebbe quotato 2,00: quello scarto \u00e8 ci\u00f2 che il bookmaker tiene per s\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">I limiti<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il calcolatore ripartisce il margine in proporzione a ogni esito. In pratica, i bookmaker caricano spesso pi\u00f9 margine sugli sfavoriti che sui favoriti: la quota equa \u00e8 una stima, non una verit\u00e0. Resta la base migliore per confrontare due bookmaker o capire se una quota vale la pena.<\/p>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Converti le quote in probabilit\u00e0, misura il margine del bookmaker e trova la quota equa di ogni esito.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"menu_order":1,"template":"","meta":{"ba_tool_widget":"implied","ba_tool_family":"odds","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-351","ba_tool","type-ba_tool","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Calcolatore margine bookmaker e probabilit\u00e0 implicita<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Trasforma le quote in probabilit\u00e0 implicite, misura il margine del bookmaker e ottieni la quota giusta senza aggio. 1X2, testa a testa e under\/over. 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